Points
45Points expected by the market
48.35Gap
−3.35Yield
−11.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.48 | −27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 27 | −0.63 | −7.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.69 | −17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 5 | +1.45 | −6.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.38 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | +0.48 | −12.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −4.19 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.99 | +274.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.90 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.10 | +1.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.50 | +36.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.54 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Silkeborg · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.07 |
| M2 | Nordsjaelland · Away27 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.47 |
| M3 | Viborg · Home3 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.88 | +0.59 |
| M4 | Vejle · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.61 |
| M5 | Randers FC · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.17 |
| M6 | Sonderjyske · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.73 | +1.44 |
| M7 | Midtjylland · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.04 |
| M8 | FC Copenhagen · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +2.03 |
| M9 | Aarhus · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.88 |
| M10 | Odense · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.99 |
| M11 | Fredericia · Away5 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.89 |
| M12 | Aarhus · Home19 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.39 |
| M13 | Odense · Away27 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +3.69 |
| M14 | Silkeborg · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +5.14 |
| M15 | Nordsjaelland · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +6.52 |
| M16 | FC Copenhagen · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +5.55 |
| M17 | Fredericia · Home1 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.38 | +3.16 |
| M18 | Vejle · Away8 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | +1.35 |
| M19 | Randers FC · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +0.77 |
| M20 | Viborg · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −0.55 |
| M21 | Sonderjyske · Home23 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | −1.33 |
| M22 | Midtjylland · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.30 | −1.03 |
| M23 | Viborg · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.61 |
| M24 | Aarhus · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −2.47 |
| M25 | Nordsjaelland · Away7 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.65 |
| M26 | Midtjylland · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −4.77 |
| M27 | Sonderjyske · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −3.54 |
| M28 | Viborg · Away22 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −1.76 |
| M29 | Sonderjyske · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.71 | −3.47 |
| M30 | Nordsjaelland · Home1 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −3.98 |
| M31 | Aarhus · Home10 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −5.15 |
| M32 | Midtjylland · Away17 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.35 |
| Total | 45 | −3.35 | |||