Points
44Points expected by the market
41.68Gap
+2.32Yield
−4.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +4.03 | +36.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −1.13 | −9.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −0.58 | −46.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +1.21 | +18.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −1.01 | −21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.52 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.82 | +107.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.13 | −0.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.05 | −28.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Copenhagen · Home18 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.72 |
| M2 | Odense · Away27 Jul 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.92 |
| M3 | Brondby · Away3 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +0.20 |
| M4 | Sonderjyske · Home8 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.44 |
| M5 | Silkeborg · Home17 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −0.06 |
| M6 | Nordsjaelland · Away25 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.08 |
| M7 | Vejle · Away29 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +0.57 |
| M8 | Aarhus · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −0.67 |
| M9 | Midtjylland · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.59 |
| M10 | Fredericia · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.52 |
| M11 | Randers FC · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.74 |
| M12 | Odense · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −3.39 |
| M13 | FC Copenhagen · Away26 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | −3.03 |
| M14 | Randers FC · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.50 |
| M15 | Fredericia · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.12 |
| M16 | Vejle · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +1.03 |
| M17 | Sonderjyske · Away28 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.79 |
| M18 | Midtjylland · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.99 |
| M19 | Silkeborg · Away8 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.42 |
| M20 | Brondby · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +4.01 |
| M21 | Aarhus · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.88 | +3.13 |
| M22 | Nordsjaelland · Home1 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +4.56 |
| M23 | Brondby · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +6.40 |
| M24 | Midtjylland · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +6.26 |
| M25 | Aarhus · Home6 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +5.02 |
| M26 | Sonderjyske · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +6.53 |
| M27 | Nordsjaelland · Away19 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +5.32 |
| M28 | Brondby · Home22 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | +3.79 |
| M29 | Nordsjaelland · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.30 |
| M30 | Midtjylland · Away4 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.29 | +5.59 |
| M31 | Sonderjyske · Home8 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.01 | +3.58 |
| M32 | Aarhus · Away17 May 2026 | L 2-6 | 0 | −1.26 | +2.32 |
| Total | 44 | +2.32 | |||