← Ekstraklasa 2020-21

Lech Poznan

Season 2020-21 · 30 matches played

Last 5WLLWD

Points

37

Points expected by the market

52.70

Gap

−15.70

Yield

−42.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 5 8 11.08 −3.08 −45.8%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 16 20 29.26 −9.26 −42.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 9 9 12.36 −3.36 −40.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more 0 — — — —

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Zaglebie · Away21 Aug 2020 21 Aug 2020 L 1-2 2.16 1.56 0 −1.56 −1.56 −€1.00
M2 Wisla Plock · Home30 Aug 2020 30 Aug 2020 D 2-2 1.37 2.24 1 −1.24 −2.80 −€1.00
M3 Slask Wroclaw · Away12 Sep 2020 12 Sep 2020 D 3-3 2.20 1.55 1 −0.55 −3.35 −€1.00
M4 Warta Poznan · Home20 Sep 2020 20 Sep 2020 W 1-0 1.45 2.15 3 +0.85 −2.49 +€0.45
M5 Piast Gliwice · Away4 Oct 2020 4 Oct 2020 W 4-1 2.33 1.48 3 +1.52 −0.97 +€1.33
M6 Jagiellonia · Away17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 L 1-2 1.58 2.00 0 −2.00 −2.98 −€1.00
M7 Cracovia · Home25 Oct 2020 25 Oct 2020 D 1-1 1.57 2.01 1 −1.01 −3.99 −€1.00
M8 Legia · Away8 Nov 2020 8 Nov 2020 L 1-2 2.67 1.32 0 −1.32 −5.31 −€1.00
M9 Rakow · Home22 Nov 2020 22 Nov 2020 D 3-3 2.02 1.65 1 −0.65 −5.96 −€1.00
M10 Lechia Gdansk · Away30 Nov 2020 30 Nov 2020 W 1-0 2.12 1.57 3 +1.43 −4.53 +€1.12
M11 Podbeskidzie · Home6 Dec 2020 6 Dec 2020 W 4-0 1.26 2.39 3 +0.61 −3.92 +€0.26
M12 Stal Mielec · Away13 Dec 2020 13 Dec 2020 D 1-1 1.43 2.16 1 −1.16 −5.09 −€1.00
M13 Pogon Szczecin · Home16 Dec 2020 16 Dec 2020 L 0-4 1.77 1.84 0 −1.84 −6.92 −€1.00
M14 Wisla · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 L 0-1 1.63 1.96 0 −1.96 −8.88 −€1.00
M15 Górnik Zabrze · Away30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 D 1-1 2.21 1.55 1 −0.55 −9.43 −€1.00
M16 Zaglebie · Home5 Feb 2021 5 Feb 2021 D 0-0 1.51 2.08 1 −1.08 −10.51 −€1.00
M17 Wisla Plock · Away14 Feb 2021 14 Feb 2021 L 0-1 2.42 1.45 0 −1.45 −11.96 −€1.00
M18 Slask Wroclaw · Home21 Feb 2021 21 Feb 2021 W 1-0 1.59 2.00 3 +1.00 −10.96 +€0.59
M19 Warta Poznan · Away26 Feb 2021 26 Feb 2021 W 2-1 1.80 1.83 3 +1.17 −9.79 +€0.80
M20 Pogon Szczecin · Away7 Mar 2021 7 Mar 2021 W 1-0 2.99 1.23 3 +1.77 −8.02 +€1.99
M21 Piast Gliwice · Home14 Mar 2021 14 Mar 2021 D 0-0 2.10 1.62 1 −0.62 −8.64 −€1.00
M22 Jagiellonia · Home20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 L 2-3 1.46 2.14 0 −2.14 −10.78 −€1.00
M23 Cracovia · Away3 Apr 2021 3 Apr 2021 L 1-2 2.43 1.46 0 −1.46 −12.24 −€1.00
M24 Legia · Home11 Apr 2021 11 Apr 2021 D 0-0 3.37 1.11 1 −0.11 −12.35 −€1.00
M25 Rakow · Away17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 L 1-3 3.05 1.22 0 −1.22 −13.57 −€1.00
M26 Lechia Gdansk · Home20 Apr 2021 20 Apr 2021 W 3-0 1.79 1.83 3 +1.17 −12.39 +€0.79
M27 Podbeskidzie · Away23 Apr 2021 23 Apr 2021 L 0-1 1.89 1.75 0 −1.75 −14.14 −€1.00
M28 Stal Mielec · Home1 May 2021 1 May 2021 L 1-2 1.62 1.97 0 −1.97 −16.11 −€1.00
M29 Wisla · Away8 May 2021 8 May 2021 W 2-1 1.96 1.69 3 +1.31 −14.79 +€0.96
M30 Górnik Zabrze · Home16 May 2021 16 May 2021 D 1-1 1.68 1.91 1 −0.91 −15.70 −€1.00
Total 52.70 37 −15.70 −€12.71