← Ekstraklasa 2020-21

Warta Poznan

Season 2020-21 · 30 matches played

Last 5LWDLW

Points

43

Points expected by the market

32.52

Gap

+10.48

Yield

+38.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 3 1.62 +1.38 +110.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 15 29 18.91 +10.09 +77.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more 14 11 11.99 −0.99 −8.1%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Lechia Gdansk · Home23 Aug 2020 23 Aug 2020 L 0-1 3.05 1.20 0 −1.20 −1.20 −€1.00
M2 Zaglebie · Away28 Aug 2020 28 Aug 2020 L 0-1 4.26 0.91 0 −0.91 −2.11 −€1.00
M3 Piast Gliwice · Home12 Sep 2020 12 Sep 2020 D 0-0 3.39 1.12 1 −0.12 −2.24 −€1.00
M4 Lech Poznan · Away20 Sep 2020 20 Sep 2020 L 0-1 6.50 0.64 0 −0.64 −2.88 −€1.00
M5 Wisla Plock · Away25 Sep 2020 25 Sep 2020 W 3-1 4.01 0.98 3 +2.02 −0.86 +€3.01
M6 Podbeskidzie · Away19 Oct 2020 19 Oct 2020 W 2-1 2.75 1.32 3 +1.68 +0.82 +€1.75
M7 Górnik Zabrze · Home26 Oct 2020 26 Oct 2020 L 0-1 3.37 1.12 0 −1.12 −0.30 −€1.00
M8 Legia · Home2 Nov 2020 2 Nov 2020 L 0-3 7.53 0.60 0 −0.60 −0.90 −€1.00
M9 Stal Mielec · Away7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 W 1-0 2.73 1.33 3 +1.67 +0.78 +€1.73
M10 Wisla · Home21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 W 2-1 3.31 1.15 3 +1.85 +2.63 +€2.31
M11 Rakow · Away29 Nov 2020 29 Nov 2020 L 0-1 7.04 0.62 0 −0.62 +2.02 −€1.00
M12 Jagiellonia · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 L 3-4 3.64 1.06 0 −1.06 +0.96 −€1.00
M13 Pogon Szczecin · Home12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 L 1-2 3.53 1.10 0 −1.10 −0.14 −€1.00
M14 Slask Wroclaw · Away17 Dec 2020 17 Dec 2020 L 1-2 3.43 1.10 0 −1.10 −1.25 −€1.00
M15 Cracovia · Home30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 W 1-0 3.23 1.18 3 +1.82 +0.58 +€2.23
M16 Lechia Gdansk · Away5 Feb 2021 5 Feb 2021 D 1-1 4.29 0.94 1 +0.06 +0.64 −€1.00
M17 Zaglebie · Home15 Feb 2021 15 Feb 2021 W 1-0 2.88 1.29 3 +1.71 +2.36 +€1.88
M18 Piast Gliwice · Away22 Feb 2021 22 Feb 2021 W 1-0 5.08 0.84 3 +2.16 +4.52 +€4.08
M19 Lech Poznan · Home26 Feb 2021 26 Feb 2021 L 1-2 4.45 0.90 0 −0.90 +3.61 −€1.00
M20 Wisla Plock · Home8 Mar 2021 8 Mar 2021 W 2-0 3.07 1.24 3 +1.76 +5.37 +€2.07
M21 Legia · Away13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 L 2-3 9.81 0.48 0 −0.48 +4.89 −€1.00
M22 Podbeskidzie · Home21 Mar 2021 21 Mar 2021 W 2-0 2.28 1.54 3 +1.46 +6.35 +€1.28
M23 Górnik Zabrze · Away5 Apr 2021 5 Apr 2021 W 2-1 3.41 1.13 3 +1.87 +8.23 +€2.41
M24 Stal Mielec · Home10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 D 0-0 2.60 1.40 1 −0.40 +7.82 −€1.00
M25 Wisla · Away17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 W 1-0 3.78 1.02 3 +1.98 +9.80 +€2.78
M26 Rakow · Home20 Apr 2021 20 Apr 2021 L 0-2 4.05 0.98 0 −0.98 +8.82 −€1.00
M27 Jagiellonia · Home25 Apr 2021 25 Apr 2021 W 2-0 2.10 1.62 3 +1.38 +10.20 +€1.10
M28 Pogon Szczecin · Away1 May 2021 1 May 2021 D 1-1 4.50 0.92 1 +0.08 +10.28 −€1.00
M29 Slask Wroclaw · Home9 May 2021 9 May 2021 L 2-3 2.27 1.54 0 −1.54 +8.74 −€1.00
M30 Cracovia · Away16 May 2021 16 May 2021 W 1-0 2.90 1.26 3 +1.74 +10.48 +€1.90
Total 32.52 43 +10.48 +€11.53