← Ekstraklasa 2020-21

Wisla

Season 2020-21 · 30 matches played

Last 5LDDLW

Points

Points expected by the market

38.55

Gap

−5.55

Yield

−18.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	10	11.76	−1.76	−18.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	13	20.15	−7.15	−48.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	8	10	6.65	+3.35	+37.6%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	5	9	8.51	+0.49	+14.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	5	10.79	−5.79	−66.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	0	1.85	−1.85	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	1	3.25	−2.25	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	8	9.36	−1.36	−28.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	10	4.80	+5.20	+83.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Jagiellonia · Away24 Aug 2020	24 Aug 2020	D 1-1	3.11	1.18	1	−0.18	−0.18	−€1.00
M2	Slask Wroclaw · Home29 Aug 2020	29 Aug 2020	L 1-3	2.29	1.52	0	−1.52	−1.70	−€1.00
M3	Pogon Szczecin · Away13 Sep 2020	13 Sep 2020	D 2-2	3.71	1.03	1	−0.03	−1.73	−€1.00
M4	Wisla Plock · Home18 Sep 2020	18 Sep 2020	L 0-3	2.19	1.56	0	−1.56	−3.29	−€1.00
M5	Górnik Zabrze · Away25 Sep 2020	25 Sep 2020	D 0-0	5.22	0.76	1	+0.24	−3.05	−€1.00
M6	Stal Mielec · Away18 Oct 2020	18 Oct 2020	W 6-0	2.25	1.52	3	+1.48	−1.57	+€1.25
M7	Podbeskidzie · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	W 3-0	1.63	1.95	3	+1.05	−0.53	+€0.63
M8	Lechia Gdansk · Home28 Oct 2020	28 Oct 2020	L 1-3	2.69	1.33	0	−1.33	−1.86	−€1.00
M9	Rakow · Away8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	D 0-0	5.35	0.75	1	+0.25	−1.61	−€1.00
M10	Warta Poznan · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	L 1-2	2.24	1.55	0	−1.55	−3.16	−€1.00
M11	Zaglebie · Home28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	L 1-2	2.43	1.43	0	−1.43	−4.60	−€1.00
M12	Cracovia · Away4 Dec 2020	4 Dec 2020	D 1-1	2.80	1.29	1	−0.29	−4.89	−€1.00
M13	Legia · Home12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 1-2	4.93	0.82	0	−0.82	−5.72	−€1.00
M14	Lech Poznan · Away19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	W 1-0	4.84	0.81	3	+2.19	−3.53	+€3.84
M15	Piast Gliwice · Home31 Jan 2021	31 Jan 2021	L 3-4	2.87	1.27	0	−1.27	−4.80	−€1.00
M16	Jagiellonia · Home7 Feb 2021	7 Feb 2021	W 2-0	2.09	1.61	3	+1.39	−3.41	+€1.09
M17	Slask Wroclaw · Away12 Feb 2021	12 Feb 2021	D 1-1	2.12	1.60	1	−0.60	−4.01	−€1.00
M18	Pogon Szczecin · Home19 Feb 2021	19 Feb 2021	W 2-1	2.69	1.34	3	+1.66	−2.35	+€1.69
M19	Wisla Plock · Away28 Feb 2021	28 Feb 2021	W 3-1	2.75	1.31	3	+1.69	−0.66	+€1.75
M20	Górnik Zabrze · Home5 Mar 2021	5 Mar 2021	D 0-0	2.30	1.50	1	−0.50	−1.16	−€1.00
M21	Lechia Gdansk · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	L 0-2	2.91	1.27	0	−1.27	−2.42	−€1.00
M22	Stal Mielec · Home21 Mar 2021	21 Mar 2021	W 3-1	1.99	1.68	3	+1.32	−1.10	+€0.99
M23	Podbeskidzie · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	L 0-2	2.04	1.65	0	−1.65	−2.75	−€1.00
M24	Rakow · Home9 Apr 2021	9 Apr 2021	L 1-2	3.72	1.03	0	−1.03	−3.78	−€1.00
M25	Warta Poznan · Home17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	L 0-1	1.97	1.70	0	−1.70	−5.48	−€1.00
M26	Zaglebie · Away21 Apr 2021	21 Apr 2021	L 1-4	2.89	1.23	0	−1.23	−6.71	−€1.00
M27	Cracovia · Home24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	D 0-0	2.72	1.34	1	−0.34	−7.05	−€1.00
M28	Legia · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	D 0-0	5.20	0.77	1	+0.23	−6.82	−€1.00
M29	Lech Poznan · Home8 May 2021	8 May 2021	L 1-2	3.48	1.06	0	−1.06	−7.88	−€1.00
M30	Piast Gliwice · Away16 May 2021	16 May 2021	W 3-2	6.17	0.67	3	+2.33	−5.55	+€5.17
Total					38.55	33	−5.55		−€5.59