← Ekstraklasa 2021-22

Warta Poznan

Season 2021-22 · 34 matches played

Last 5LLWLW

Points

42

Points expected by the market

40.27

Gap

+1.73

Yield

+0.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 2 4 3.33 +0.67 +2.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 20 30 26.78 +3.22 +7.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more 12 8 10.16 −2.16 −12.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Slask Wroclaw · Away25 Jul 2021 25 Jul 2021 D 2-2 3.26 1.16 1 −0.16 −0.16 −€1.00
M2 Pogon Szczecin · Home1 Aug 2021 1 Aug 2021 D 1-1 3.57 1.10 1 −0.10 −0.26 −€1.00
M3 Leczna · Away6 Aug 2021 6 Aug 2021 W 4-0 2.68 1.35 3 +1.65 +1.39 +€1.68
M4 Legia · Home14 Aug 2021 14 Aug 2021 L 0-2 3.28 1.15 0 −1.15 +0.24 −€1.00
M5 Radomiak Radom · Away20 Aug 2021 20 Aug 2021 L 0-1 3.57 1.08 0 −1.08 −0.84 −€1.00
M6 Jagiellonia · Home27 Aug 2021 27 Aug 2021 D 1-1 2.55 1.41 1 −0.41 −1.25 −€1.00
M7 Bruk-Bet Termalica · Home11 Sep 2021 11 Sep 2021 D 0-0 2.34 1.50 1 −0.50 −1.75 −€1.00
M8 Górnik Zabrze · Away19 Sep 2021 19 Sep 2021 L 0-1 3.89 1.02 0 −1.02 −2.77 −€1.00
M9 Zaglebie · Home25 Sep 2021 25 Sep 2021 L 0-2 2.68 1.35 0 −1.35 −4.12 −€1.00
M10 Rakow · Away3 Oct 2021 3 Oct 2021 L 0-3 6.12 0.71 0 −0.71 −4.82 −€1.00
M11 Cracovia · Away17 Oct 2021 17 Oct 2021 L 0-2 4.17 0.96 0 −0.96 −5.79 −€1.00
M12 Stal Mielec · Home24 Oct 2021 24 Oct 2021 D 0-0 2.21 1.56 1 −0.56 −6.35 −€1.00
M13 Lechia Gdansk · Home30 Oct 2021 30 Oct 2021 L 0-2 3.36 1.12 0 −1.12 −7.47 −€1.00
M14 Piast Gliwice · Away6 Nov 2021 6 Nov 2021 W 1-0 4.97 0.83 3 +2.17 −5.30 +€3.97
M15 Wisla Plock · Home20 Nov 2021 20 Nov 2021 L 1-2 2.56 1.40 0 −1.40 −6.70 −€1.00
M16 Lech Poznan · Away28 Nov 2021 28 Nov 2021 L 0-2 9.84 0.47 0 −0.47 −7.17 −€1.00
M17 Wisla · Home6 Dec 2021 6 Dec 2021 D 1-1 2.75 1.32 1 −0.32 −7.49 −€1.00
M18 Slask Wroclaw · Home13 Dec 2021 13 Dec 2021 W 2-1 2.61 1.38 3 +1.62 −5.88 +€1.61
M19 Pogon Szczecin · Away18 Dec 2021 18 Dec 2021 D 1-1 7.69 0.58 1 +0.42 −5.46 −€1.00
M20 Leczna · Home6 Feb 2022 6 Feb 2022 D 1-1 2.07 1.66 1 −0.66 −6.12 −€1.00
M21 Legia · Away13 Feb 2022 13 Feb 2022 W 1-0 5.55 0.79 3 +2.21 −3.90 +€4.55
M22 Radomiak Radom · Home20 Feb 2022 20 Feb 2022 W 3-1 2.65 1.38 3 +1.62 −2.28 +€1.65
M23 Jagiellonia · Away27 Feb 2022 27 Feb 2022 D 1-1 3.12 1.21 1 −0.21 −2.49 −€1.00
M24 Bruk-Bet Termalica · Away5 Mar 2022 5 Mar 2022 L 0-1 2.57 1.40 0 −1.40 −3.89 −€1.00
M25 Górnik Zabrze · Home12 Mar 2022 12 Mar 2022 W 2-1 2.73 1.35 3 +1.65 −2.24 +€1.73
M26 Zaglebie · Away18 Mar 2022 18 Mar 2022 W 4-0 3.03 1.25 3 +1.75 −0.48 +€2.03
M27 Rakow · Home2 Apr 2022 2 Apr 2022 L 0-2 3.85 1.04 0 −1.04 −1.52 −€1.00
M28 Cracovia · Home10 Apr 2022 10 Apr 2022 W 1-0 2.05 1.68 3 +1.32 −0.20 +€1.05
M29 Stal Mielec · Away16 Apr 2022 16 Apr 2022 W 1-0 2.26 1.56 3 +1.44 +1.24 +€1.26
M30 Lechia Gdansk · Away23 Apr 2022 23 Apr 2022 L 0-2 3.73 1.04 0 −1.04 +0.19 −€1.00
M31 Piast Gliwice · Home29 Apr 2022 29 Apr 2022 L 2-3 2.87 1.31 0 −1.31 −1.12 −€1.00
M32 Wisla Plock · Away7 May 2022 7 May 2022 W 3-0 2.51 1.42 3 +1.58 +0.46 +€1.51
M33 Lech Poznan · Home14 May 2022 14 May 2022 L 1-2 8.36 0.53 0 −0.53 −0.08 −€1.00
M34 Wisla · Away21 May 2022 21 May 2022 W 1-0 3.08 1.19 3 +1.81 +1.73 +€2.08
Total 40.27 42 +1.73 +€0.12