← Ekstraklasa 2022-23

Warta Poznan

Season 2022-23 · 34 matches played

Last 5LLLDL

Points

45

Points expected by the market

43.29

Gap

+1.71

Yield

−1.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 11 8.54 +2.46 +20.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 20 30 26.48 +3.52 +19.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more 9 4 8.27 −4.27 −58.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Rakow · Away15 Jul 2022 15 Jul 2022 L 0-1 8.35 0.56 0 −0.56 −0.56 −€1.00
M2 Wisla Plock · Home22 Jul 2022 22 Jul 2022 L 0-4 2.50 1.42 0 −1.42 −1.98 −€1.00
M3 Legnica · Away30 Jul 2022 30 Jul 2022 W 2-1 3.10 1.21 3 +1.79 −0.20 +€2.10
M4 Pogon Szczecin · Home7 Aug 2022 7 Aug 2022 L 1-2 3.70 1.04 0 −1.04 −1.24 −€1.00
M5 Korona Kielce · Away15 Aug 2022 15 Aug 2022 W 1-0 2.43 1.46 3 +1.54 +0.30 +€1.43
M6 Widzew Lodz · Home20 Aug 2022 20 Aug 2022 L 0-1 2.32 1.51 0 −1.51 −1.21 −€1.00
M7 Cracovia · Away28 Aug 2022 28 Aug 2022 W 2-0 3.73 1.06 3 +1.94 +0.73 +€2.73
M8 Lechia Gdansk · Away3 Sep 2022 3 Sep 2022 D 0-0 2.96 1.25 1 −0.25 +0.49 −€1.00
M9 Zaglebie · Home9 Sep 2022 9 Sep 2022 D 2-2 2.50 1.42 1 −0.42 +0.06 −€1.00
M10 Lech Poznan · Home18 Sep 2022 18 Sep 2022 L 0-1 4.03 0.98 0 −0.98 −0.92 −€1.00
M11 Slask Wroclaw · Away3 Oct 2022 3 Oct 2022 W 2-0 3.11 1.21 3 +1.79 +0.87 +€2.11
M12 Legia · Away8 Oct 2022 8 Oct 2022 L 0-1 4.23 0.95 0 −0.95 −0.08 −€1.00
M13 Jagiellonia · Home15 Oct 2022 15 Oct 2022 W 2-0 2.27 1.53 3 +1.47 +1.39 +€1.27
M14 Górnik Zabrze · Home23 Oct 2022 23 Oct 2022 D 0-0 2.28 1.51 1 −0.51 +0.87 −€1.00
M15 Radomiak Radom · Away31 Oct 2022 31 Oct 2022 W 3-2 3.48 1.12 3 +1.88 +2.75 +€2.48
M16 Piast Gliwice · Away5 Nov 2022 5 Nov 2022 W 2-0 2.88 1.30 3 +1.70 +4.45 +€1.88
M17 Stal Mielec · Home11 Nov 2022 11 Nov 2022 D 1-1 1.94 1.73 1 −0.73 +3.72 −€1.00
M18 Rakow · Home28 Jan 2023 28 Jan 2023 D 1-1 5.26 0.83 1 +0.17 +3.90 −€1.00
M19 Legnica · Home13 Feb 2023 13 Feb 2023 D 1-1 1.98 1.72 1 −0.72 +3.18 −€1.00
M20 Pogon Szczecin · Away18 Feb 2023 18 Feb 2023 L 1-3 3.92 1.00 0 −1.00 +2.18 −€1.00
M21 Korona Kielce · Home25 Feb 2023 25 Feb 2023 W 5-1 1.90 1.76 3 +1.24 +3.41 +€0.90
M22 Widzew Lodz · Away4 Mar 2023 4 Mar 2023 W 2-0 3.36 1.14 3 +1.86 +5.27 +€2.36
M23 Wisla Plock · Away8 Mar 2023 8 Mar 2023 L 0-1 2.63 1.38 0 −1.38 +3.90 −€1.00
M24 Cracovia · Home12 Mar 2023 12 Mar 2023 D 0-0 2.43 1.48 1 −0.48 +3.42 −€1.00
M25 Lechia Gdansk · Home19 Mar 2023 19 Mar 2023 W 2-0 1.97 1.71 3 +1.29 +4.71 +€0.97
M26 Zaglebie · Away31 Mar 2023 31 Mar 2023 D 0-0 2.92 1.27 1 −0.27 +4.45 −€1.00
M27 Lech Poznan · Away8 Apr 2023 8 Apr 2023 L 0-2 5.52 0.77 0 −0.77 +3.68 −€1.00
M28 Slask Wroclaw · Home14 Apr 2023 14 Apr 2023 W 3-1 2.13 1.62 3 +1.38 +5.06 +€1.13
M29 Legia · Home21 Apr 2023 21 Apr 2023 W 1-0 3.20 1.18 3 +1.82 +6.88 +€2.20
M30 Jagiellonia · Away29 Apr 2023 29 Apr 2023 L 1-3 3.05 1.22 0 −1.22 +5.66 −€1.00
M31 Górnik Zabrze · Away5 May 2023 5 May 2023 L 0-2 3.54 1.08 0 −1.08 +4.57 −€1.00
M32 Radomiak Radom · Home15 May 2023 15 May 2023 L 1-2 2.83 1.30 0 −1.30 +3.28 −€1.00
M33 Piast Gliwice · Home22 May 2023 22 May 2023 D 1-1 2.89 1.28 1 −0.28 +3.00 −€1.00
M34 Stal Mielec · Away27 May 2023 27 May 2023 L 0-1 2.87 1.28 0 −1.28 +1.71 −€1.00
Total 43.29 45 +1.71 −€0.44