← Ekstraklasa 2023-24

Lech Poznan

Season 2023-24 · 34 matches played

Last 5DLLDL

Points

53

Points expected by the market

59.80

Gap

−6.80

Yield

−24.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 5 13 11.56 +1.44 +5.6%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 21 29 37.55 −8.55 −39.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 7 11 9.65 +1.35 +10.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 1 0 1.03 −1.03 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Piast Gliwice · Away22 Jul 2023 22 Jul 2023 W 2-1 2.48 1.45 3 +1.55 +1.55 +€1.48
M2 Radomiak Radom · Home30 Jul 2023 30 Jul 2023 W 2-0 1.75 1.87 3 +1.13 +2.69 +€0.75
M3 Zaglebie · Away6 Aug 2023 6 Aug 2023 D 1-1 1.88 1.74 1 −0.74 +1.95 −€1.00
M4 Slask Wroclaw · Away20 Aug 2023 20 Aug 2023 L 1-3 1.84 1.78 0 −1.78 +0.16 −€1.00
M5 Górnik Zabrze · Home2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 D 1-1 1.31 2.32 1 −1.32 −1.16 −€1.00
M6 Warta Poznan · Away17 Sep 2023 17 Sep 2023 W 2-0 1.65 1.96 3 +1.04 −0.12 +€0.65
M7 Stal Mielec · Home23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 W 2-1 1.32 2.31 3 +0.69 +0.57 +€0.32
M8 Rakow · Home28 Sep 2023 28 Sep 2023 W 4-1 2.10 1.62 3 +1.38 +1.95 +€1.10
M9 Pogon Szczecin · Away1 Oct 2023 1 Oct 2023 L 0-5 2.43 1.42 0 −1.42 +0.53 −€1.00
M10 Puszcza · Home6 Oct 2023 6 Oct 2023 W 4-1 1.28 2.37 3 +0.63 +1.16 +€0.28
M11 LKS Lodz · Home21 Oct 2023 21 Oct 2023 W 3-1 1.34 2.28 3 +0.72 +1.88 +€0.34
M12 Jagiellonia · Home24 Oct 2023 24 Oct 2023 D 3-3 1.62 1.97 1 −0.97 +0.91 −€1.00
M13 Cracovia · Away28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 D 1-1 2.18 1.58 1 −0.58 +0.33 −€1.00
M14 Ruch Chorzow · Home4 Nov 2023 4 Nov 2023 W 2-0 1.34 2.28 3 +0.72 +1.05 +€0.34
M15 Legia · Away12 Nov 2023 12 Nov 2023 D 0-0 3.31 1.13 1 −0.13 +0.93 −€1.00
M16 Widzew Lodz · Home26 Nov 2023 26 Nov 2023 L 1-3 1.53 2.06 0 −2.06 −1.13 −€1.00
M17 Korona Kielce · Away2 Dec 2023 2 Dec 2023 W 1-0 2.26 1.53 3 +1.47 +0.34 +€1.26
M18 Piast Gliwice · Home10 Dec 2023 10 Dec 2023 L 0-1 1.88 1.77 0 −1.77 −1.43 −€1.00
M19 Radomiak Radom · Away16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 D 2-2 2.19 1.57 1 −0.57 −2.00 −€1.00
M20 Zaglebie · Home10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 W 2-0 1.71 1.89 3 +1.11 −0.89 +€0.71
M21 Jagiellonia · Away17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 W 2-1 3.01 1.21 3 +1.79 +0.90 +€2.01
M22 Slask Wroclaw · Home24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 D 0-0 1.95 1.73 1 −0.73 +0.18 −€1.00
M23 Rakow · Away3 Mar 2024 3 Mar 2024 L 0-4 3.76 1.03 0 −1.03 −0.86 −€1.00
M24 Górnik Zabrze · Away9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 D 0-0 2.53 1.40 1 −0.40 −1.25 −€1.00
M25 Warta Poznan · Home15 Mar 2024 15 Mar 2024 W 2-0 1.62 2.00 3 +1.00 −0.26 +€0.62
M26 Stal Mielec · Away1 Apr 2024 1 Apr 2024 D 0-0 1.83 1.80 1 −0.80 −1.06 −€1.00
M27 Pogon Szczecin · Home7 Apr 2024 7 Apr 2024 W 1-0 2.19 1.55 3 +1.45 +0.39 +€1.19
M28 Puszcza · Away13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 L 1-2 1.64 1.95 0 −1.95 −1.56 −€1.00
M29 LKS Lodz · Away21 Apr 2024 21 Apr 2024 W 3-2 1.69 1.89 3 +1.11 −0.45 +€0.69
M30 Cracovia · Home28 Apr 2024 28 Apr 2024 D 0-0 1.88 1.75 1 −0.75 −1.20 −€1.00
M31 Ruch Chorzow · Away3 May 2024 3 May 2024 L 1-2 1.99 1.66 0 −1.66 −2.87 −€1.00
M32 Legia · Home12 May 2024 12 May 2024 L 1-2 2.29 1.51 0 −1.51 −4.38 −€1.00
M33 Widzew Lodz · Away19 May 2024 19 May 2024 D 1-1 1.75 1.84 1 −0.84 −5.22 −€1.00
M34 Korona Kielce · Home25 May 2024 25 May 2024 L 1-2 2.10 1.58 0 −1.58 −6.80 −€1.00
Total 59.80 53 −6.80 −€8.26