← Ekstraklasa 2023-24

Warta Poznan

Season 2023-24 · 34 matches played

Last 5LWLLL

Points

37

Points expected by the market

39.27

Gap

−2.27

Yield

−16.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 7 8.46 −1.46 −14.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 14 20 18.35 +1.65 −2.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more 15 10 12.46 −2.46 −29.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Pogon Szczecin · Home21 Jul 2023 21 Jul 2023 L 0-1 3.29 1.14 0 −1.14 −1.14 −€1.00
M2 Górnik Zabrze · Home29 Jul 2023 29 Jul 2023 W 2-0 2.18 1.58 3 +1.42 +0.28 +€1.18
M3 Rakow · Away5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 D 2-2 6.47 0.68 1 +0.32 +0.59 −€1.00
M4 Ruch Chorzow · Home14 Aug 2023 14 Aug 2023 D 2-2 1.81 1.82 1 −0.82 −0.23 −€1.00
M5 Radomiak Radom · Away19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 L 2-3 3.95 0.99 0 −0.99 −1.22 −€1.00
M6 Cracovia · Home26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 D 0-0 2.25 1.55 1 −0.55 −1.77 −€1.00
M7 LKS Lodz · Away1 Sep 2023 1 Sep 2023 W 2-0 2.80 1.30 3 +1.70 −0.07 +€1.80
M8 Lech Poznan · Home17 Sep 2023 17 Sep 2023 L 0-2 5.35 0.78 0 −0.78 −0.85 −€1.00
M9 Zaglebie · Away24 Sep 2023 24 Sep 2023 L 0-1 3.72 1.04 0 −1.04 −1.89 −€1.00
M10 Slask Wroclaw · Home30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 L 0-1 2.40 1.49 0 −1.49 −3.38 −€1.00
M11 Korona Kielce · Away6 Oct 2023 6 Oct 2023 D 1-1 3.11 1.22 1 −0.22 −3.60 −€1.00
M12 Stal Mielec · Away23 Oct 2023 23 Oct 2023 W 1-0 2.77 1.33 3 +1.67 −1.93 +€1.77
M13 Piast Gliwice · Home28 Oct 2023 28 Oct 2023 D 1-1 3.83 1.05 1 −0.05 −1.99 −€1.00
M14 Widzew Lodz · Away4 Nov 2023 4 Nov 2023 W 1-0 3.32 1.16 3 +1.84 −0.14 +€2.32
M15 Puszcza · Home10 Nov 2023 10 Nov 2023 L 0-2 2.05 1.67 0 −1.67 −1.82 −€1.00
M16 Legia · Away25 Nov 2023 25 Nov 2023 D 2-2 7.83 0.59 1 +0.41 −1.40 −€1.00
M17 Jagiellonia · Home1 Dec 2023 1 Dec 2023 L 1-2 3.29 1.15 0 −1.15 −2.55 −€1.00
M18 Pogon Szczecin · Away8 Dec 2023 8 Dec 2023 D 3-3 6.32 0.67 1 +0.33 −2.22 −€1.00
M19 Górnik Zabrze · Away15 Dec 2023 15 Dec 2023 L 0-3 3.82 1.02 0 −1.02 −3.25 −€1.00
M20 Rakow · Home11 Feb 2024 11 Feb 2024 W 2-1 5.38 0.77 3 +2.23 −1.02 +€4.38
M21 Ruch Chorzow · Away17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 D 0-0 3.17 1.20 1 −0.20 −1.22 −€1.00
M22 Radomiak Radom · Home26 Feb 2024 26 Feb 2024 D 0-0 2.59 1.40 1 −0.40 −1.62 −€1.00
M23 Cracovia · Away1 Mar 2024 1 Mar 2024 W 1-0 5.20 0.82 3 +2.18 +0.56 +€4.20
M24 LKS Lodz · Home11 Mar 2024 11 Mar 2024 L 0-1 1.93 1.74 0 −1.74 −1.18 −€1.00
M25 Lech Poznan · Away15 Mar 2024 15 Mar 2024 L 0-2 6.13 0.73 0 −0.73 −1.91 −€1.00
M26 Zaglebie · Home2 Apr 2024 2 Apr 2024 D 1-1 3.03 1.24 1 −0.24 −2.15 −€1.00
M27 Slask Wroclaw · Away6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 L 1-2 4.38 0.95 0 −0.95 −3.10 −€1.00
M28 Korona Kielce · Home12 Apr 2024 12 Apr 2024 W 1-0 2.49 1.46 3 +1.54 −1.56 +€1.49
M29 Stal Mielec · Home22 Apr 2024 22 Apr 2024 W 5-2 2.12 1.64 3 +1.36 −0.19 +€1.12
M30 Piast Gliwice · Away26 Apr 2024 26 Apr 2024 L 0-2 4.78 0.89 0 −0.89 −1.09 −€1.00
M31 Widzew Lodz · Home5 May 2024 5 May 2024 W 2-1 2.31 1.51 3 +1.49 +0.40 +€1.31
M32 Puszcza · Away12 May 2024 12 May 2024 L 0-1 3.12 1.21 0 −1.21 −0.80 −€1.00
M33 Legia · Home19 May 2024 19 May 2024 L 0-1 4.59 0.88 0 −0.88 −1.68 −€1.00
M34 Jagiellonia · Away25 May 2024 25 May 2024 L 0-3 7.16 0.59 0 −0.59 −2.27 −€1.00
Total 39.27 37 −2.27 −€5.43