← Ekstraklasa 2025-26

Lech Poznan

Season 2025-26 · 34 matches played

Last 5WWDWD

Points

60

Points expected by the market

58.12

Gap

+1.88

Yield

−8.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 4 6 8.94 −2.94 −67.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 21 43 37.22 +5.78 +17.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 9 11 11.96 −0.96 −43.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 0 — — — —

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Cracovia · Home18 Jul 2025 18 Jul 2025 L 1-4 1.59 1.96 0 −1.96 −1.96 −€1.00
M2 Lechia Gdansk · Away26 Jul 2025 26 Jul 2025 W 4-3 2.07 1.59 3 +1.41 −0.55 +€1.07
M3 Górnik Zabrze · Home2 Aug 2025 2 Aug 2025 W 2-1 1.73 1.85 3 +1.15 +0.59 +€0.73
M4 Korona Kielce · Home16 Aug 2025 16 Aug 2025 D 1-1 1.69 1.87 1 −0.87 −0.28 −€1.00
M5 Widzew Lodz · Home31 Aug 2025 31 Aug 2025 W 2-1 1.87 1.73 3 +1.27 +0.98 +€0.87
M6 Zaglebie · Home12 Sep 2025 12 Sep 2025 L 1-2 1.55 2.01 0 −2.01 −1.03 −€1.00
M7 Bruk-Bet Termalica · Away20 Sep 2025 20 Sep 2025 W 2-0 1.95 1.67 3 +1.33 +0.30 +€0.95
M8 Rakow · Away24 Sep 2025 24 Sep 2025 D 2-2 3.31 1.11 1 −0.11 +0.19 −€1.00
M9 Jagiellonia · Home28 Sep 2025 28 Sep 2025 D 2-2 1.89 1.71 1 −0.71 −0.52 −€1.00
M10 GKS Katowice · Away5 Oct 2025 5 Oct 2025 W 1-0 2.10 1.57 3 +1.43 +0.91 +€1.10
M11 Pogon Szczecin · Home19 Oct 2025 19 Oct 2025 D 2-2 1.72 1.84 1 −0.84 +0.07 −€1.00
M12 Legia · Away26 Oct 2025 26 Oct 2025 D 0-0 3.22 1.12 1 −0.12 −0.05 −€1.00
M13 Motor Lublin · Home2 Nov 2025 2 Nov 2025 D 2-2 1.52 2.04 1 −1.04 −1.09 −€1.00
M14 Arka Gdynia · Away9 Nov 2025 9 Nov 2025 L 1-3 2.02 1.64 0 −1.64 −2.73 −€1.00
M15 Radomiak Radom · Home23 Nov 2025 23 Nov 2025 W 4-1 1.69 1.87 3 +1.13 −1.60 +€0.69
M16 Wisla Plock · Away30 Nov 2025 30 Nov 2025 D 0-0 2.24 1.50 1 −0.50 −2.10 −€1.00
M17 Cracovia · Away7 Dec 2025 7 Dec 2025 D 2-2 2.47 1.39 1 −0.39 −2.49 −€1.00
M18 Lechia Gdansk · Home31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 L 1-3 1.77 1.80 0 −1.80 −4.30 −€1.00
M19 Piast Gliwice · Away3 Feb 2026 3 Feb 2026 L 0-1 2.32 1.47 0 −1.47 −5.77 −€1.00
M20 Górnik Zabrze · Away7 Feb 2026 7 Feb 2026 W 1-0 2.81 1.25 3 +1.75 −4.02 +€1.81
M21 Piast Gliwice · Home15 Feb 2026 15 Feb 2026 W 3-0 1.83 1.77 3 +1.23 −2.79 +€0.83
M22 Korona Kielce · Away22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 W 2-1 2.27 1.48 3 +1.52 −1.27 +€1.27
M23 Rakow · Home1 Mar 2026 1 Mar 2026 W 4-3 2.11 1.57 3 +1.43 +0.16 +€1.11
M24 Widzew Lodz · Away7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 L 1-2 2.90 1.22 0 −1.22 −1.06 −€1.00
M25 Zaglebie · Away15 Mar 2026 15 Mar 2026 W 1-0 1.82 1.77 3 +1.23 +0.16 +€0.82
M26 Bruk-Bet Termalica · Home22 Mar 2026 22 Mar 2026 W 4-1 1.30 2.30 3 +0.70 +0.86 +€0.30
M27 Jagiellonia · Away4 Apr 2026 4 Apr 2026 D 0-0 2.39 1.40 1 −0.40 +0.46 −€1.00
M28 GKS Katowice · Home12 Apr 2026 12 Apr 2026 D 3-3 1.45 2.09 1 −1.09 −0.63 −€1.00
M29 Pogon Szczecin · Away18 Apr 2026 18 Apr 2026 W 2-1 2.11 1.55 3 +1.45 +0.81 +€1.11
M30 Legia · Home26 Apr 2026 26 Apr 2026 W 4-0 1.91 1.69 3 +1.31 +2.12 +€0.91
M31 Motor Lublin · Away2 May 2026 2 May 2026 W 1-0 1.67 1.87 3 +1.13 +3.26 +€0.67
M32 Arka Gdynia · Home8 May 2026 8 May 2026 D 1-1 1.31 2.28 1 −1.28 +1.98 −€1.00
M33 Radomiak Radom · Away16 May 2026 16 May 2026 W 3-1 1.72 1.83 3 +1.17 +3.15 +€0.72
M34 Wisla Plock · Home23 May 2026 23 May 2026 D 2-2 1.31 2.27 1 −1.27 +1.88 −€1.00
Total 58.12 60 +1.88 −€3.04