Points
43Points expected by the market
40.99Gap
+2.01Yield
−15.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.65 | +3.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 31 | +2.87 | −10.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −2.51 | −38.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.65 | +3.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | −0.19 | −35.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.91 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +3.06 | +18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.60 | −29.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Arka Gdynia · Home20 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.63 |
| M2 | Pogon Szczecin · Away26 Jul 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.82 |
| M3 | Lechia Gdansk · Away11 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.61 |
| M4 | Piast Gliwice · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.15 |
| M5 | Korona Kielce · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.92 |
| M6 | Górnik Zabrze · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +1.30 |
| M7 | Bruk-Bet Termalica · Home14 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +0.69 |
| M8 | Zaglebie · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.57 |
| M9 | Radomiak Radom · Home29 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.04 |
| M10 | Rakow · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −0.73 |
| M11 | GKS Katowice · Home17 Oct 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.49 | −2.21 |
| M12 | Widzew Lodz · Home24 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.51 |
| M13 | Lech Poznan · Away2 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.25 | −0.26 |
| M14 | Wisla Plock · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.75 |
| M15 | Cracovia · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.13 |
| M16 | Legia · Home1 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.88 |
| M17 | Arka Gdynia · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −0.51 |
| M18 | Jagiellonia · Home14 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.74 |
| M19 | Pogon Szczecin · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.93 |
| M20 | Jagiellonia · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.02 |
| M21 | Lechia Gdansk · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.50 |
| M22 | Piast Gliwice · Away20 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +0.36 |
| M23 | Korona Kielce · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +1.83 |
| M24 | Górnik Zabrze · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.58 |
| M25 | Bruk-Bet Termalica · Away13 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +3.22 |
| M26 | Zaglebie · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +4.54 |
| M27 | Radomiak Radom · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +4.34 |
| M28 | Rakow · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +4.07 |
| M29 | GKS Katowice · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.09 | +2.98 |
| M30 | Widzew Lodz · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | +2.15 |
| M31 | Lech Poznan · Home2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.24 |
| M32 | Wisla Plock · Away10 May 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.98 |
| M33 | Cracovia · Home16 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.26 | +2.72 |
| M34 | Legia · Away23 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.71 | +2.01 |
| Total | 43 | +2.01 | |||