← Ekstraklasa 2026-27

Motor Lublin

Season 2026-27 · 11 matches played

Last 5LLDWW

Points

12

Points expected by the market

13.63

Gap

−1.63

Yield

−41.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8M9M10M11

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 3 1.80 +1.20 +77.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 7 7 8.96 −1.96 −33.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 2 2.87 −0.87 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Widzew Lodz · Away26 Jul 2026 26 Jul 2026 D 2-2 4.38 0.88 1 +0.12 +0.12 −€1.00
M2 Jagiellonia · Home31 Jul 2026 31 Jul 2026 L 1-2 2.66 1.29 0 −1.29 −1.17 −€1.00
M3 Pogon Szczecin · Away8 Aug 2026 8 Aug 2026 L 1-3 3.56 1.03 0 −1.03 −2.21 −€1.00
M4 GKS Katowice · Home16 Aug 2026 16 Aug 2026 W 1-0 2.21 1.50 3 +1.50 −0.71 +€1.21
M5 Korona Kielce · Away22 Aug 2026 22 Aug 2026 D 1-1 3.90 0.96 1 +0.04 −0.66 −€1.00
M6 Piast Gliwice · Home29 Aug 2026 29 Aug 2026 L 0-2 2.26 1.48 0 −1.48 −2.14 −€1.00
M7 Legia · Home5 Sep 2026 5 Sep 2026 L 2-3 3.42 1.06 0 −1.06 −3.21 −€1.00
M8 Rakow · Away11 Sep 2026 11 Sep 2026 L 1-2 3.45 1.04 0 −1.04 −4.25 −€1.00
M9 Górnik Zabrze · Home19 Sep 2026 19 Sep 2026 D 0-0 3.03 1.18 1 −0.18 −4.43 −€1.00
M10 Radomiak Radom · Away12 Oct 2026 12 Oct 2026 W 3-2 2.44 1.40 3 +1.60 −2.83 +€1.44
M11 Slask Wroclaw · Home17 Oct 2026 17 Oct 2026 W 3-2 1.77 1.80 3 +1.20 −1.63 +€0.77
Total 13.63 12 −1.63 −€4.58