ESEN
← Eliteserien 2019

Molde

Season 2019 · 30 matches played

Last 5LWWWW

Points

68

Points expected by the market

54.11

Gap

+13.89

Yield

+21.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 9 27 20.33 +6.67 +36.8%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 13 29 23.08 +5.92 +28.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 7 12 9.75 +2.25 +7.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 1 0 0.95 −0.95 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Sarpsborg 08 · Away31 Mar 2019 31 Mar 2019 D 1-1 2.65 1.35 1 −0.35 −0.35 −€1.00
M2 Stabaek · Home7 Apr 2019 7 Apr 2019 W 3-0 1.33 2.30 3 +0.70 +0.35 +€0.33
M3 Valerenga · Home10 Apr 2019 10 Apr 2019 W 4-1 1.41 2.21 3 +0.79 +1.14 +€0.41
M4 Bodo/Glimt · Away14 Apr 2019 14 Apr 2019 L 2-3 2.31 1.49 0 −1.49 −0.35 −€1.00
M5 Lillestrom · Away22 Apr 2019 22 Apr 2019 W 2-0 2.23 1.54 3 +1.46 +1.11 +€1.23
M6 Rosenborg · Home28 Apr 2019 28 Apr 2019 W 3-0 1.91 1.74 3 +1.26 +2.38 +€0.91
M7 Haugesund · Away5 May 2019 5 May 2019 W 2-1 2.56 1.39 3 +1.61 +3.98 +€1.56
M8 Mjondalen · Home12 May 2019 12 May 2019 W 1-0 1.31 2.33 3 +0.67 +4.65 +€0.31
M9 Kristiansund · Away16 May 2019 16 May 2019 L 2-3 2.13 1.60 0 −1.60 +3.05 −€1.00
M10 Viking · Home20 May 2019 20 May 2019 W 5-1 1.38 2.24 3 +0.76 +3.81 +€0.38
M11 Tromso · Away26 May 2019 26 May 2019 L 1-2 1.63 1.96 0 −1.96 +1.85 −€1.00
M12 Ranheim · Home16 Jun 2019 16 Jun 2019 W 2-0 1.27 2.38 3 +0.62 +2.47 +€0.27
M13 Stromsgodset · Away22 Jun 2019 22 Jun 2019 W 4-0 1.94 1.71 3 +1.29 +3.76 +€0.94
M14 Brann · Home30 Jun 2019 30 Jun 2019 D 1-1 2.00 1.67 1 −0.67 +3.09 −€1.00
M15 Odd · Away5 Jul 2019 5 Jul 2019 D 2-2 2.93 1.24 1 −0.24 +2.85 −€1.00
M16 Sarpsborg 08 · Home21 Jul 2019 21 Jul 2019 W 2-1 1.49 2.10 3 +0.90 +3.75 +€0.49
M17 Viking · Away4 Aug 2019 4 Aug 2019 W 2-0 1.86 1.76 3 +1.24 +4.99 +€0.86
M18 Ranheim · Away18 Aug 2019 18 Aug 2019 W 3-2 1.85 1.78 3 +1.22 +6.21 +€0.85
M19 Odd · Home25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 D 2-2 1.81 1.82 1 −0.82 +5.40 −€1.00
M20 Mjondalen · Away1 Sep 2019 1 Sep 2019 W 3-1 2.17 1.57 3 +1.43 +6.83 +€1.17
M21 Tromso · Home15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 W 3-0 1.23 2.44 3 +0.56 +7.38 +€0.23
M22 Stabaek · Away23 Sep 2019 23 Sep 2019 W 2-1 2.07 1.62 3 +1.38 +8.77 +€1.07
M23 Lillestrom · Home29 Sep 2019 29 Sep 2019 W 2-1 1.48 2.12 3 +0.88 +9.64 +€0.48
M24 Brann · Away6 Oct 2019 6 Oct 2019 D 0-0 2.44 1.43 1 −0.43 +9.21 −€1.00
M25 Haugesund · Home20 Oct 2019 20 Oct 2019 W 3-1 1.51 2.09 3 +0.91 +10.12 +€0.51
M26 Rosenborg · Away27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 L 1-3 4.04 0.95 0 −0.95 +9.17 −€1.00
M27 Kristiansund · Home2 Nov 2019 2 Nov 2019 W 2-0 1.41 2.20 3 +0.80 +9.97 +€0.41
M28 Stromsgodset · Home10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 W 4-0 1.58 2.02 3 +0.98 +10.96 +€0.58
M29 Valerenga · Away24 Nov 2019 24 Nov 2019 W 4-2 2.72 1.31 3 +1.69 +12.65 +€1.72
M30 Bodo/Glimt · Home1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 W 4-2 1.86 1.76 3 +1.24 +13.89 +€0.86
Total 54.11 68 +13.89 +€6.57