← Eliteserien 2019

Stromsgodset

Season 2019 · 30 matches played

Last 5DDLWW

Points

Points expected by the market

37.71

Gap

−5.71

Yield

−36.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	14	15.94	−1.94	−15.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	10	15	12.16	+2.84	+13.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	11	3	9.60	−6.60	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	14	15.94	−1.94	−15.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	7	5.97	+1.03	+14.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	1.03	−1.03	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	8	6.20	+1.80	+13.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	10	3	8.57	−5.57	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Haugesund · Home31 Mar 2019	31 Mar 2019	W 3-2	2.00	1.69	3	+1.31	+1.31	+€1.00
M2	Brann · Away7 Apr 2019	7 Apr 2019	D 1-1	4.83	0.83	1	+0.17	+1.48	−€1.00
M3	Mjondalen · Home12 Apr 2019	12 Apr 2019	L 2-3	1.72	1.88	0	−1.88	−0.41	−€1.00
M4	Rosenborg · Away22 Apr 2019	22 Apr 2019	D 0-0	5.29	0.77	1	+0.23	−0.18	−€1.00
M5	Kristiansund · Home28 Apr 2019	28 Apr 2019	L 2-3	1.79	1.83	0	−1.83	−2.01	−€1.00
M6	Odd · Away5 May 2019	5 May 2019	L 1-2	4.47	0.89	0	−0.89	−2.91	−€1.00
M7	Viking · Home13 May 2019	13 May 2019	D 0-0	1.93	1.72	1	−0.72	−3.62	−€1.00
M8	Valerenga · Away16 May 2019	16 May 2019	L 0-2	4.78	0.83	0	−0.83	−4.46	−€1.00
M9	Tromso · Home19 May 2019	19 May 2019	W 3-1	1.91	1.75	3	+1.25	−3.21	+€0.91
M10	Ranheim · Away26 May 2019	26 May 2019	L 0-1	3.02	1.21	0	−1.21	−4.42	−€1.00
M11	Bodo/Glimt · Away16 Jun 2019	16 Jun 2019	L 0-2	6.12	0.67	0	−0.67	−5.09	−€1.00
M12	Molde · Home22 Jun 2019	22 Jun 2019	L 0-4	3.63	1.03	0	−1.03	−6.12	−€1.00
M13	Sarpsborg 08 · Away1 Jul 2019	1 Jul 2019	D 2-2	5.19	0.79	1	+0.21	−5.92	−€1.00
M14	Stabaek · Home5 Jul 2019	5 Jul 2019	L 0-2	1.83	1.80	0	−1.80	−7.72	−€1.00
M15	Lillestrom · Away14 Jul 2019	14 Jul 2019	L 1-2	4.08	0.96	0	−0.96	−8.68	−€1.00
M16	Bodo/Glimt · Home5 Aug 2019	5 Aug 2019	L 1-3	3.43	1.08	0	−1.08	−9.76	−€1.00
M17	Valerenga · Home11 Aug 2019	11 Aug 2019	W 3-2	2.94	1.23	3	+1.77	−7.99	+€1.94
M18	Viking · Away18 Aug 2019	18 Aug 2019	L 0-4	3.55	1.05	0	−1.05	−9.04	−€1.00
M19	Sarpsborg 08 · Home25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	W 2-1	2.80	1.30	3	+1.70	−7.34	+€1.80
M20	Stabaek · Away31 Aug 2019	31 Aug 2019	L 1-2	3.84	1.00	0	−1.00	−8.34	−€1.00
M21	Ranheim · Home15 Sep 2019	15 Sep 2019	W 1-0	1.97	1.70	3	+1.30	−7.04	+€0.97
M22	Tromso · Away22 Sep 2019	22 Sep 2019	W 1-0	3.26	1.14	3	+1.86	−5.18	+€2.26
M23	Odd · Home29 Sep 2019	29 Sep 2019	L 2-3	2.90	1.25	0	−1.25	−6.43	−€1.00
M24	Mjondalen · Away4 Oct 2019	4 Oct 2019	D 1-1	2.94	1.24	1	−0.24	−6.67	−€1.00
M25	Lillestrom · Home20 Oct 2019	20 Oct 2019	D 1-1	1.96	1.71	1	−0.71	−7.38	−€1.00
M26	Haugesund · Away27 Oct 2019	27 Oct 2019	D 2-2	3.19	1.17	1	−0.17	−7.54	−€1.00
M27	Rosenborg · Home1 Nov 2019	1 Nov 2019	D 3-3	3.38	1.10	1	−0.10	−7.65	−€1.00
M28	Molde · Away10 Nov 2019	10 Nov 2019	L 0-4	5.28	0.76	0	−0.76	−8.41	−€1.00
M29	Brann · Home24 Nov 2019	24 Nov 2019	W 6-0	1.75	1.86	3	+1.14	−7.26	+€0.75
M30	Kristiansund · Away1 Dec 2019	1 Dec 2019	W 2-1	2.39	1.44	3	+1.56	−5.71	+€1.39
Total					37.71	32	−5.71		−€10.98