← Eliteserien 2023

Sarpsborg 08

Season 2023 · 30 matches played

Last 5DWLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

46.05

Gap

−5.05

Yield

−8.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	4	6	8.90	−2.90	−31.8%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	18	21.59	−3.59	−26.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	14	10.39	+3.61	+53.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	3	5.18	−2.18	−38.2%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	4	6	8.90	−2.90	−31.8%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	17	14.67	+2.33	+10.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	1	0	1.49	−1.49	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	3	2.07	+0.93	+85.5%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	1	6.91	−5.91	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	7	14	8.89	+5.11	+74.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	0	3.11	−3.11	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Bodo/Glimt · Home10 Apr 2023	10 Apr 2023	L 0-2	3.50	1.06	0	−1.06	−1.06	−€1.00
M2	Valerenga · Away16 Apr 2023	16 Apr 2023	W 2-0	3.43	1.08	3	+1.92	+0.86	+€2.43
M3	Odd · Home23 Apr 2023	23 Apr 2023	D 0-0	1.78	1.82	1	−0.82	+0.04	−€1.00
M4	Haugesund · Away30 Apr 2023	30 Apr 2023	D 0-0	2.63	1.35	1	−0.35	−0.31	−€1.00
M5	Stabaek · Away7 May 2023	7 May 2023	D 1-1	2.77	1.29	1	−0.29	−0.61	−€1.00
M6	Brann · Home13 May 2023	13 May 2023	W 2-1	3.71	1.01	3	+1.99	+1.38	+€2.71
M7	Lillestrom · Away16 May 2023	16 May 2023	W 2-1	3.25	1.13	3	+1.87	+3.25	+€2.25
M8	Aalesund · Home29 May 2023	29 May 2023	W 3-1	1.56	2.03	3	+0.97	+4.21	+€0.56
M9	Tromso · Away4 Jun 2023	4 Jun 2023	L 1-2	2.40	1.45	0	−1.45	+2.76	−€1.00
M10	Viking · Home11 Jun 2023	11 Jun 2023	L 1-3	2.10	1.59	0	−1.59	+1.18	−€1.00
M11	Rosenborg · Away25 Jun 2023	25 Jun 2023	W 3-0	3.16	1.15	3	+1.85	+3.02	+€2.16
M12	Sandefjord · Home2 Jul 2023	2 Jul 2023	W 6-1	1.34	2.28	3	+0.72	+3.74	+€0.34
M13	Stromsgodset · Away9 Jul 2023	9 Jul 2023	L 2-5	2.06	1.61	0	−1.61	+2.13	−€1.00
M14	HamKam · Home16 Jul 2023	16 Jul 2023	L 2-3	1.35	2.27	0	−2.27	−0.14	−€1.00
M15	Molde · Away22 Jul 2023	22 Jul 2023	L 1-5	6.31	0.63	0	−0.63	−0.77	−€1.00
M16	Haugesund · Home30 Jul 2023	30 Jul 2023	W 2-1	1.39	2.21	3	+0.79	+0.02	+€0.39
M17	Sandefjord · Away6 Aug 2023	6 Aug 2023	L 1-5	1.75	1.84	0	−1.84	−1.83	−€1.00
M18	Stromsgodset · Home12 Aug 2023	12 Aug 2023	L 1-2	1.46	2.13	0	−2.13	−3.96	−€1.00
M19	Odd · Away19 Aug 2023	19 Aug 2023	W 3-0	2.40	1.43	3	+1.57	−2.39	+€1.40
M20	Tromso · Home26 Aug 2023	26 Aug 2023	W 4-0	1.92	1.72	3	+1.28	−1.11	+€0.92
M21	Brann · Away3 Sep 2023	3 Sep 2023	L 0-1	4.67	0.81	0	−0.81	−1.91	−€1.00
M22	Lillestrom · Home17 Sep 2023	17 Sep 2023	W 3-1	1.89	1.73	3	+1.27	−0.64	+€0.89
M23	HamKam · Away24 Sep 2023	24 Sep 2023	D 1-1	1.90	1.72	1	−0.72	−1.37	−€1.00
M24	Rosenborg · Home8 Oct 2023	8 Oct 2023	W 5-2	1.59	1.99	3	+1.01	−0.35	+€0.59
M25	Aalesund · Away22 Oct 2023	22 Oct 2023	L 2-3	1.88	1.74	0	−1.74	−2.09	−€1.00
M26	Stabaek · Home29 Oct 2023	29 Oct 2023	D 2-2	1.52	2.06	1	−1.06	−3.15	−€1.00
M27	Valerenga · Home5 Nov 2023	5 Nov 2023	W 3-2	1.89	1.73	3	+1.27	−1.88	+€0.89
M28	Viking · Away12 Nov 2023	12 Nov 2023	L 1-2	3.56	1.00	0	−1.00	−2.89	−€1.00
M29	Molde · Home26 Nov 2023	26 Nov 2023	L 1-3	2.25	1.49	0	−1.49	−4.38	−€1.00
M30	Bodo/Glimt · Away3 Dec 2023	3 Dec 2023	L 0-2	5.62	0.67	0	−0.67	−5.05	−€1.00
Total					46.05	41	−5.05		−€2.47