← Eredivisie 2020-21

Heracles

Season 2020-21 · 34 matches played

Last 5LWDDL

Points

44

Points expected by the market

42.59

Gap

+1.41

Yield

−14.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 12 22 21.10 +0.90 +9.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 9 10 11.45 −1.45 −45.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more 13 12 10.04 +1.96 −16.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Den Haag · Home13 Sep 2020 13 Sep 2020 W 2-0 1.63 1.98 3 +1.02 +1.02 +€0.63
M2 Willem II · Away20 Sep 2020 20 Sep 2020 L 0-4 3.45 1.09 0 −1.09 −0.06 −€1.00
M3 PSV Eindhoven · Home27 Sep 2020 27 Sep 2020 D 1-1 5.30 0.75 1 +0.25 +0.19 −€1.00
M4 Vitesse · Away3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 L 0-3 5.09 0.78 0 −0.78 −0.59 −€1.00
M5 Waalwijk · Home17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 L 0-1 1.61 1.99 0 −1.99 −2.58 −€1.00
M6 Sparta Rotterdam · Away25 Oct 2020 25 Oct 2020 D 1-1 3.51 1.07 1 −0.07 −2.65 −€1.00
M7 Utrecht · Home1 Nov 2020 1 Nov 2020 W 4-1 3.78 0.99 3 +2.01 −0.64 +€2.78
M8 VVV Venlo · Away7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 L 2-3 1.95 1.70 0 −1.70 −2.34 −€1.00
M9 Ajax · Away22 Nov 2020 22 Nov 2020 L 0-5 13.72 0.32 0 −0.32 −2.67 −€1.00
M10 AZ Alkmaar · Home29 Nov 2020 29 Nov 2020 L 1-2 5.49 0.73 0 −0.73 −3.39 −€1.00
M11 Feyenoord · Away6 Dec 2020 6 Dec 2020 D 0-0 5.85 0.71 1 +0.29 −3.10 −€1.00
M12 Fortuna Sittard · Home11 Dec 2020 11 Dec 2020 L 1-2 1.84 1.79 0 −1.79 −4.89 −€1.00
M13 Heerenveen · Away20 Dec 2020 20 Dec 2020 W 2-1 3.54 1.06 3 +1.94 −2.95 +€2.54
M14 Groningen · Away23 Dec 2020 23 Dec 2020 W 1-0 3.60 1.07 3 +1.93 −1.02 +€2.60
M15 Vitesse · Home9 Jan 2021 9 Jan 2021 L 0-2 3.41 1.10 0 −1.10 −2.11 −€1.00
M16 FC Emmen · Home12 Jan 2021 12 Jan 2021 W 4-0 1.78 1.85 3 +1.15 −0.96 +€0.78
M17 Utrecht · Away16 Jan 2021 16 Jan 2021 L 0-2 4.86 0.83 0 −0.83 −1.79 −€1.00
M18 Heerenveen · Home23 Jan 2021 23 Jan 2021 W 1-0 2.11 1.61 3 +1.39 −0.40 +€1.11
M19 Zwolle · Away26 Jan 2021 26 Jan 2021 D 2-2 2.57 1.39 1 −0.39 −0.79 −€1.00
M20 Groningen · Home30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 W 1-0 2.31 1.52 3 +1.48 +0.70 +€1.31
M21 Fortuna Sittard · Away5 Feb 2021 5 Feb 2021 W 1-0 2.56 1.39 3 +1.61 +2.31 +€1.56
M22 Ajax · Home13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 L 0-2 8.78 0.49 0 −0.49 +1.82 −€1.00
M23 Waalwijk · Away21 Feb 2021 21 Feb 2021 L 0-3 2.19 1.56 0 −1.56 +0.25 −€1.00
M24 Twente · Home27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 D 2-2 2.68 1.34 1 −0.34 −0.09 −€1.00
M25 Zwolle · Home7 Mar 2021 7 Mar 2021 W 2-1 2.12 1.61 3 +1.39 +1.31 +€1.12
M26 Den Haag · Away13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 W 2-1 1.68 1.93 3 +1.07 +2.37 +€0.68
M27 Sparta Rotterdam · Home21 Mar 2021 21 Mar 2021 D 1-1 2.17 1.59 1 −0.59 +1.78 −€1.00
M28 PSV Eindhoven · Away4 Apr 2021 4 Apr 2021 L 0-3 9.09 0.50 0 −0.50 +1.29 −€1.00
M29 Willem II · Home10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 W 4-0 2.16 1.60 3 +1.40 +2.69 +€1.16
M30 FC Emmen · Away25 Apr 2021 25 Apr 2021 L 1-3 3.11 1.19 0 −1.19 +1.50 −€1.00
M31 VVV Venlo · Home1 May 2021 1 May 2021 W 4-0 1.71 1.90 3 +1.10 +2.60 +€0.71
M32 Twente · Away8 May 2021 8 May 2021 D 1-1 2.68 1.34 1 −0.34 +2.26 −€1.00
M33 Feyenoord · Home13 May 2021 13 May 2021 D 1-1 3.32 1.10 1 −0.10 +2.16 −€1.00
M34 AZ Alkmaar · Away16 May 2021 16 May 2021 L 0-5 5.20 0.75 0 −0.75 +1.41 −€1.00
Total 42.59 44 +1.41 −€5.02