← Eredivisie 2020-21

VVV Venlo

Season 2020-21 · 34 matches played

Last 5LLDLL

Points

23

Points expected by the market

28.89

Gap

−5.89

Yield

−29.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 0 1.58 −1.58 −100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 8 9 9.76 −0.76 −31.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more 25 14 17.54 −3.54 −26.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 FC Emmen · Away13 Sep 2020 13 Sep 2020 W 5-3 3.78 1.01 3 +1.99 +1.99 +€2.78
M2 Utrecht · Home18 Sep 2020 18 Sep 2020 D 1-1 4.12 0.94 1 +0.06 +2.05 −€1.00
M3 Heerenveen · Away26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 L 0-1 5.39 0.74 0 −0.74 +1.31 −€1.00
M4 Den Haag · Home3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 L 1-2 2.15 1.58 0 −1.58 −0.28 −€1.00
M5 AZ Alkmaar · Away17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 D 2-2 8.91 0.49 1 +0.51 +0.24 −€1.00
M6 Ajax · Home24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 L 0-13 9.57 0.45 0 −0.45 −0.21 −€1.00
M7 Groningen · Away31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 L 1-2 6.92 0.62 0 −0.62 −0.83 −€1.00
M8 Heracles · Home7 Nov 2020 7 Nov 2020 W 3-2 3.54 1.05 3 +1.95 +1.12 +€2.54
M9 Willem II · Away21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 L 1-2 4.95 0.80 0 −0.80 +0.32 −€1.00
M10 Zwolle · Home28 Nov 2020 28 Nov 2020 D 2-2 3.31 1.13 1 −0.13 +0.19 −€1.00
M11 Waalwijk · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 L 2-3 2.92 1.23 0 −1.23 −1.04 −€1.00
M12 Feyenoord · Home13 Dec 2020 13 Dec 2020 L 0-3 6.33 0.64 0 −0.64 −1.69 −€1.00
M13 Twente · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 L 1-2 4.05 0.93 0 −0.93 −2.61 −€1.00
M14 PSV Eindhoven · Away22 Dec 2020 22 Dec 2020 L 1-4 11.50 0.39 0 −0.39 −3.00 −€1.00
M15 Willem II · Home10 Jan 2021 10 Jan 2021 W 2-1 2.93 1.23 3 +1.77 −1.23 +€1.93
M16 Den Haag · Away13 Jan 2021 13 Jan 2021 W 4-1 2.54 1.38 3 +1.62 +0.38 +€1.54
M17 Heerenveen · Home17 Jan 2021 17 Jan 2021 D 1-1 3.22 1.13 1 −0.13 +0.25 −€1.00
M18 Twente · Away24 Jan 2021 24 Jan 2021 W 1-0 4.37 0.89 3 +2.11 +2.36 +€3.37
M19 Vitesse · Home27 Jan 2021 27 Jan 2021 W 4-1 6.69 0.62 3 +2.38 +4.74 +€5.69
M20 Fortuna Sittard · Away30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 L 2-3 3.42 1.08 0 −1.08 +3.66 −€1.00
M21 Utrecht · Away14 Feb 2021 14 Feb 2021 L 1-3 7.91 0.54 0 −0.54 +3.12 −€1.00
M22 AZ Alkmaar · Home20 Feb 2021 20 Feb 2021 L 1-4 7.02 0.59 0 −0.59 +2.53 −€1.00
M23 Vitesse · Away27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 L 1-4 6.73 0.62 0 −0.62 +1.91 −€1.00
M24 Feyenoord · Away6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 L 0-6 12.53 0.36 0 −0.36 +1.55 −€1.00
M25 Sparta Rotterdam · Home9 Mar 2021 9 Mar 2021 L 0-1 3.87 1.00 0 −1.00 +0.55 −€1.00
M26 Fortuna Sittard · Home14 Mar 2021 14 Mar 2021 L 1-3 3.32 1.12 0 −1.12 −0.57 −€1.00
M27 Zwolle · Away21 Mar 2021 21 Mar 2021 L 1-2 4.47 0.88 0 −0.88 −1.45 −€1.00
M28 Groningen · Home3 Apr 2021 3 Apr 2021 L 0-1 3.88 1.00 0 −1.00 −2.45 −€1.00
M29 PSV Eindhoven · Home11 Apr 2021 11 Apr 2021 L 0-2 11.93 0.38 0 −0.38 −2.82 −€1.00
M30 Sparta Rotterdam · Away24 Apr 2021 24 Apr 2021 L 0-2 5.26 0.78 0 −0.78 −3.60 −€1.00
M31 Heracles · Away1 May 2021 1 May 2021 L 0-4 4.55 0.86 0 −0.86 −4.46 −€1.00
M32 Waalwijk · Home8 May 2021 8 May 2021 D 3-3 2.39 1.46 1 −0.46 −4.92 −€1.00
M33 Ajax · Away13 May 2021 13 May 2021 L 1-3 20.85 0.24 0 −0.24 −5.16 −€1.00
M34 FC Emmen · Home16 May 2021 16 May 2021 L 0-4 5.41 0.73 0 −0.73 −5.89 −€1.00
Total 28.89 23 −5.89 −€10.15