← Eredivisie 2020-21

Willem II

Season 2020-21 · 34 matches played

Last 5WLLWW

Points

31

Points expected by the market

40.02

Gap

−9.02

Yield

−46.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 8 20 14.30 +5.70 +37.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 5 16.09 −11.09 −76.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more 14 6 9.63 −3.63 −67.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Heerenveen · Away12 Sep 2020 12 Sep 2020 L 0-2 3.48 1.08 0 −1.08 −1.08 −€1.00
M2 Heracles · Home20 Sep 2020 20 Sep 2020 W 4-0 2.05 1.65 3 +1.35 +0.28 +€1.05
M3 FC Emmen · Away27 Sep 2020 27 Sep 2020 D 1-1 2.46 1.42 1 −0.42 −0.14 −€1.00
M4 Feyenoord · Home4 Oct 2020 4 Oct 2020 L 1-4 3.50 1.06 0 −1.06 −1.20 −€1.00
M5 Twente · Home17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 L 0-3 2.50 1.41 0 −1.41 −2.61 −€1.00
M6 Zwolle · Away24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 D 0-0 2.50 1.40 1 −0.40 −3.01 −€1.00
M7 Vitesse · Home31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 L 1-3 2.69 1.32 0 −1.32 −4.33 −€1.00
M8 PSV Eindhoven · Away8 Nov 2020 8 Nov 2020 L 0-3 8.74 0.49 0 −0.49 −4.83 −€1.00
M9 VVV Venlo · Home21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 W 2-1 1.63 1.97 3 +1.03 −3.80 +€0.63
M10 Groningen · Away29 Nov 2020 29 Nov 2020 L 0-1 3.57 1.07 0 −1.07 −4.86 −€1.00
M11 Fortuna Sittard · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 L 2-3 2.22 1.53 0 −1.53 −6.39 −€1.00
M12 Sparta Rotterdam · Home13 Dec 2020 13 Dec 2020 L 1-3 2.61 1.36 0 −1.36 −7.75 −€1.00
M13 AZ Alkmaar · Away20 Dec 2020 20 Dec 2020 L 3-5 10.53 0.42 0 −0.42 −8.17 −€1.00
M14 Ajax · Home23 Dec 2020 23 Dec 2020 D 1-1 16.85 0.27 1 +0.73 −7.44 −€1.00
M15 VVV Venlo · Away10 Jan 2021 10 Jan 2021 L 1-2 2.28 1.51 0 −1.51 −8.95 −€1.00
M16 Groningen · Home14 Jan 2021 14 Jan 2021 L 2-3 3.07 1.20 0 −1.20 −10.15 −€1.00
M17 Waalwijk · Away17 Jan 2021 17 Jan 2021 D 1-1 2.17 1.56 1 −0.56 −10.71 −€1.00
M18 Zwolle · Home22 Jan 2021 22 Jan 2021 L 1-3 2.32 1.49 0 −1.49 −12.20 −€1.00
M19 Ajax · Away28 Jan 2021 28 Jan 2021 L 1-3 24.76 0.19 0 −0.19 −12.39 −€1.00
M20 FC Emmen · Home31 Jan 2021 31 Jan 2021 W 2-0 1.99 1.69 3 +1.31 −11.08 +€0.99
M21 Feyenoord · Away14 Feb 2021 14 Feb 2021 L 0-5 7.13 0.58 0 −0.58 −11.66 −€1.00
M22 Utrecht · Home19 Feb 2021 19 Feb 2021 L 0-6 5.44 0.74 0 −0.74 −12.40 −€1.00
M23 Den Haag · Home24 Feb 2021 24 Feb 2021 D 1-1 1.72 1.90 1 −0.90 −13.29 −€1.00
M24 Sparta Rotterdam · Away28 Feb 2021 28 Feb 2021 W 2-0 4.49 0.88 3 +2.12 −11.18 +€3.49
M25 Twente · Away6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 D 1-1 3.89 0.98 1 +0.02 −11.15 −€1.00
M26 Heerenveen · Home13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 W 3-1 2.86 1.26 3 +1.74 −9.41 +€1.86
M27 Vitesse · Away21 Mar 2021 21 Mar 2021 D 0-0 5.05 0.80 1 +0.20 −9.21 −€1.00
M28 AZ Alkmaar · Home3 Apr 2021 3 Apr 2021 L 0-1 4.82 0.82 0 −0.82 −10.03 −€1.00
M29 Heracles · Away10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 L 0-4 3.36 1.13 0 −1.13 −11.15 −€1.00
M30 Waalwijk · Home23 Apr 2021 23 Apr 2021 W 1-0 1.80 1.83 3 +1.17 −9.98 +€0.80
M31 Utrecht · Away1 May 2021 1 May 2021 L 2-3 6.08 0.68 0 −0.68 −10.66 −€1.00
M32 PSV Eindhoven · Home9 May 2021 9 May 2021 L 0-2 6.28 0.65 0 −0.65 −11.31 −€1.00
M33 Den Haag · Away13 May 2021 13 May 2021 W 4-1 1.97 1.70 3 +1.30 −10.01 +€0.97
M34 Fortuna Sittard · Home16 May 2021 16 May 2021 W 2-1 1.58 2.01 3 +0.99 −9.02 +€0.58
Total 40.02 31 −9.02 −€15.63