Points
82Points expected by the market
70.91Gap
+11.09Yield
+13.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | 59 | +6.56 | +11.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +2.97 | +19.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.50 | −30.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.06 | +108.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 32 | +0.02 | −6.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.41 | +83.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.87 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 27 | +6.53 | +36.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.57 | −12.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.37 | +38.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.06 | +108.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Vitesse · Away7 Aug 2022 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.29 |
| M2 | Heerenveen · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.29 | +0.01 |
| M3 | Waalwijk · Away21 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +0.79 |
| M4 | FC Emmen · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +1.41 |
| M5 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.67 | +2.08 |
| M6 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home11 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +2.71 |
| M7 | PSV Eindhoven · Away18 Sep 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.70 |
| M8 | Nijmegen · Away2 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.95 | +0.75 |
| M9 | Twente · Home9 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.95 |
| M10 | AZ Alkmaar · Away16 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.66 |
| M11 | Fortuna Sittard · Home22 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.50 | +2.16 |
| M12 | Volendam · Away6 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +2.91 |
| M13 | Cambuur · Home10 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.40 | +3.31 |
| M14 | Excelsior · Home13 Nov 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.37 | +3.68 |
| M15 | Utrecht · Away8 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.97 |
| M16 | Groningen · Away15 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +3.77 |
| M17 | Ajax · Home22 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +3.37 |
| M18 | Nijmegen · Home25 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +3.99 |
| M19 | Twente · Away29 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +3.65 |
| M20 | PSV Eindhoven · Home5 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | +3.18 |
| M21 | Heerenveen · Away12 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +4.12 |
| M22 | AZ Alkmaar · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.33 |
| M23 | Fortuna Sittard · Away26 Feb 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.74 | +6.07 |
| M24 | Groningen · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +6.52 |
| M25 | Volendam · Home12 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.36 | +6.88 |
| M26 | Ajax · Away19 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.07 | +8.95 |
| M27 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away2 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +9.81 |
| M28 | Waalwijk · Home9 Apr 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.41 | +10.22 |
| M29 | Cambuur · Away16 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +10.73 |
| M30 | Utrecht · Home23 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.71 | +11.44 |
| M31 | Excelsior · Away7 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +11.97 |
| M32 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home14 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +12.46 |
| M33 | FC Emmen · Away21 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +13.35 |
| M34 | Vitesse · Home28 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.26 | +11.09 |
| Total | 82 | +11.09 | |||