Points
39Points expected by the market
43.11Gap
−4.11Yield
−47.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −1.70 | −29.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −0.70 | −22.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −2.50 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −3.11 | −47.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −3.61 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.25 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +116.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.91 | +12.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −1.25 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Twente · Home7 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.18 |
| M2 | Volendam · Away14 Aug 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.30 |
| M3 | Groningen · Home26 Aug 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | −0.35 |
| M4 | AZ Alkmaar · Away1 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −0.11 |
| M5 | Heerenveen · Away4 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.04 |
| M6 | Fortuna Sittard · Home10 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | −0.78 |
| M7 | Utrecht · Away16 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.64 |
| M8 | Feyenoord · Home2 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.46 |
| M9 | Excelsior · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −1.51 |
| M10 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away16 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.72 |
| M11 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home23 Oct 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.67 | −3.39 |
| M12 | PSV Eindhoven · Away30 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.36 | −3.75 |
| M13 | Cambuur · Away4 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | −2.05 |
| M14 | Waalwijk · Home13 Nov 2022 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −0.66 |
| M15 | Ajax · Home8 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.39 |
| M16 | Vitesse · Away15 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.54 |
| M17 | FC Emmen · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +0.79 |
| M18 | Feyenoord · Away25 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.45 | +0.35 |
| M19 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home28 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.15 |
| M20 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away5 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.45 |
| M21 | Cambuur · Home11 Feb 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.04 | −2.48 |
| M22 | Excelsior · Away19 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.07 |
| M23 | Volendam · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | −0.28 |
| M24 | Ajax · Away5 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.34 | −0.62 |
| M25 | Utrecht · Home12 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.02 |
| M26 | Waalwijk · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.55 |
| M27 | PSV Eindhoven · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.81 | −0.26 |
| M28 | FC Emmen · Away9 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.66 |
| M29 | Vitesse · Home16 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.20 |
| M30 | Groningen · Away25 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.59 |
| M31 | Heerenveen · Home6 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −2.21 |
| M32 | Twente · Away12 May 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.63 | −2.83 |
| M33 | AZ Alkmaar · Home21 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.72 |
| M34 | Fortuna Sittard · Away28 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −4.11 |
| Total | 39 | −4.11 | |||