Points
40Points expected by the market
46.74Gap
−6.74Yield
−18.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −1.07 | −32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 8 | −6.11 | −51.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | −0.25 | +9.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | +0.70 | −23.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −1.07 | −32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.53 | −35.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.19 | −16.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.39 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.58 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.94 | +16.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +2.09 | +37.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Feyenoord · Home7 Aug 2022 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.04 |
| M2 | Excelsior · Away12 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.78 | −2.82 |
| M3 | Heerenveen · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.56 | −4.38 |
| M4 | Waalwijk · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | −5.20 |
| M5 | Groningen · Away4 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −3.48 |
| M6 | Utrecht · Away11 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −4.57 |
| M7 | Volendam · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | −5.84 |
| M8 | Twente · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −6.70 |
| M9 | Fortuna Sittard · Home9 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | −8.67 |
| M10 | Cambuur · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −7.10 |
| M11 | FC Emmen · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | −6.00 |
| M12 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.66 | −7.65 |
| M13 | Ajax · Away9 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.69 | −6.96 |
| M14 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away13 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −7.13 |
| M15 | AZ Alkmaar · Away7 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −6.86 |
| M16 | Nijmegen · Home15 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | −7.43 |
| M17 | PSV Eindhoven · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.44 | −7.87 |
| M18 | Twente · Home25 Jan 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −7.91 |
| M19 | Heerenveen · Away28 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −6.07 |
| M20 | FC Emmen · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | −6.52 |
| M21 | Utrecht · Home12 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −4.93 |
| M22 | Volendam · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −6.73 |
| M23 | Ajax · Home26 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −7.34 |
| M24 | AZ Alkmaar · Home3 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −8.57 |
| M25 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −9.96 |
| M26 | PSV Eindhoven · Home19 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | −9.66 |
| M27 | Waalwijk · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −11.01 |
| M28 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −9.62 |
| M29 | Nijmegen · Away16 Apr 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −7.81 |
| M30 | Excelsior · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.19 | −8.99 |
| M31 | Fortuna Sittard · Away7 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −10.55 |
| M32 | Cambuur · Home14 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.57 | −9.98 |
| M33 | Groningen · Home21 May 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −9.16 |
| M34 | Feyenoord · Away28 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.42 | −6.74 |
| Total | 40 | −6.74 | |||