Points
65Points expected by the market
64.03Gap
+0.97Yield
−9.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 31 | −4.56 | −23.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 28 | +6.25 | +20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.18 | +149.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −3.90 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 27 | −1.56 | −14.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.54 | +85.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.71 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −3.00 | −60.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +2.71 | −1.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.18 | +149.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.19 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home13 Aug 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +0.88 |
| M2 | Waalwijk · Away20 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.90 |
| M3 | Vitesse · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +3.44 |
| M4 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home17 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +4.30 |
| M5 | Zwolle · Away24 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +5.41 |
| M6 | Heracles · Home28 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.49 | +3.93 |
| M7 | Fortuna Sittard · Home1 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +4.64 |
| M8 | Ajax · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +6.29 |
| M9 | Heerenveen · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +7.01 |
| M10 | Excelsior · Away4 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.29 | +5.72 |
| M11 | Feyenoord · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.66 | +5.06 |
| M12 | Volendam · Home26 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.42 | +5.49 |
| M13 | Utrecht · Away3 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | +4.70 |
| M14 | Nijmegen · Home6 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.42 | +2.28 |
| M15 | Almere City · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.52 | +2.81 |
| M16 | PSV Eindhoven · Home17 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.86 |
| M17 | Twente · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +0.93 |
| M18 | Zwolle · Home20 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.33 | −0.40 |
| M19 | Heerenveen · Away28 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | −1.02 |
| M20 | Feyenoord · Home4 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −1.78 |
| M21 | Almere City · Away10 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.92 | −2.70 |
| M22 | Fortuna Sittard · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −1.56 |
| M23 | Ajax · Home25 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.32 |
| M24 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.00 |
| M25 | Excelsior · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.51 | −0.49 |
| M26 | Volendam · Away17 Mar 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.47 | −0.02 |
| M27 | Vitesse · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +0.46 |
| M28 | Heracles · Away3 Apr 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −2.19 | −1.72 |
| M29 | PSV Eindhoven · Away6 Apr 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.60 | −2.32 |
| M30 | Waalwijk · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.64 | −1.68 |
| M31 | Nijmegen · Away28 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.29 |
| M32 | Twente · Home5 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.13 |
| M33 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away12 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +2.18 |
| M34 | Utrecht · Home19 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.21 | +0.97 |
| Total | 65 | +0.97 | |||