Points
53Points expected by the market
44.26Gap
+8.74Yield
+36.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.18 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +2.51 | +8.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +3.15 | +10.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 13 | +5.25 | +103.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.18 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.52 | +2.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.14 | −20.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.58 | +187.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.99 | +59.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.29 | +20.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +2.67 | +55.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Excelsior · Home13 Aug 2023 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.18 | −2.18 |
| M2 | Heracles · Away18 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.51 |
| M3 | Waalwijk · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −2.43 |
| M4 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away1 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −2.50 |
| M5 | PSV Eindhoven · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.29 | −2.79 |
| M6 | Utrecht · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.25 |
| M7 | Vitesse · Home1 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.59 | −2.84 |
| M8 | Heerenveen · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | −2.93 |
| M9 | Almere City · Home21 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.71 |
| M10 | Volendam · Home5 Nov 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.05 | −4.77 |
| M11 | Twente · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.51 | −4.26 |
| M12 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −4.80 |
| M13 | Ajax · Home3 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −5.81 |
| M14 | AZ Alkmaar · Away6 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.58 | −3.23 |
| M15 | Zwolle · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −1.37 |
| M16 | Fortuna Sittard · Home15 Dec 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.10 |
| M17 | Feyenoord · Away14 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.63 |
| M18 | Twente · Home20 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | +2.63 |
| M19 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away28 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | +2.47 |
| M20 | Heracles · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +3.40 |
| M21 | Waalwijk · Away9 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +1.89 |
| M22 | Ajax · Away18 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.28 | +2.16 |
| M23 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +3.47 |
| M24 | Volendam · Away1 Mar 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.99 | +4.46 |
| M25 | Heerenveen · Home10 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +5.84 |
| M26 | Utrecht · Away17 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +4.77 |
| M27 | PSV Eindhoven · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.45 | +7.22 |
| M28 | Fortuna Sittard · Away2 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +6.97 |
| M29 | Vitesse · Away7 Apr 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +8.46 |
| M30 | Zwolle · Home14 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | +7.43 |
| M31 | AZ Alkmaar · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +6.30 |
| M32 | Excelsior · Away6 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +8.09 |
| M33 | Feyenoord · Home12 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | +7.23 |
| M34 | Almere City · Away19 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +8.74 |
| Total | 53 | +8.74 | |||