Points
91Points expected by the market
80.32Gap
+10.68Yield
+13.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 28 | 77 | +6.72 | +6.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 11 | +2.09 | +9.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.87 | +225.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 48 | +6.57 | +16.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 29 | +0.15 | −6.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.86 | +36.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.87 | +225.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Utrecht · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +0.63 |
| M2 | Vitesse · Away19 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.65 |
| M3 | Waalwijk · Away2 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +2.24 |
| M4 | Nijmegen · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.41 | +2.65 |
| M5 | Almere City · Away23 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +3.14 |
| M6 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home27 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.39 | +3.53 |
| M7 | Volendam · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.17 | +3.70 |
| M8 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +4.43 |
| M9 | Fortuna Sittard · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.40 | +4.84 |
| M10 | Ajax · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.62 | +5.46 |
| M11 | Heracles · Away4 Nov 2023 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +5.96 |
| M12 | Zwolle · Home12 Nov 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.25 | +6.22 |
| M13 | Twente · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +7.55 |
| M14 | Feyenoord · Away3 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +9.42 |
| M15 | Heerenveen · Home7 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +9.86 |
| M16 | AZ Alkmaar · Away17 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +11.05 |
| M17 | Excelsior · Home13 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.20 | +11.26 |
| M18 | Utrecht · Away21 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.27 | +9.99 |
| M19 | Almere City · Home27 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.30 | +10.28 |
| M20 | Ajax · Away3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | +9.61 |
| M21 | Volendam · Away11 Feb 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.32 | +9.93 |
| M22 | Heracles · Home16 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.26 | +10.19 |
| M23 | Zwolle · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 7-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +10.70 |
| M24 | Feyenoord · Home3 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | +9.92 |
| M25 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away8 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +10.70 |
| M26 | Twente · Home17 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +11.46 |
| M27 | Nijmegen · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.27 | +9.19 |
| M28 | Excelsior · Away2 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.39 | +9.57 |
| M29 | AZ Alkmaar · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +10.36 |
| M30 | Vitesse · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.24 | +10.60 |
| M31 | Heerenveen · Away25 Apr 2024 | W 8-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +11.31 |
| M32 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home5 May 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.34 | +11.65 |
| M33 | Fortuna Sittard · Away12 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.35 | +10.30 |
| M34 | Waalwijk · Home19 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.38 | +10.68 |
| Total | 91 | +10.68 | |||