Points
49Points expected by the market
43.87Gap
+5.13Yield
−1.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.52 | +21.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.12 | +6.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 24 | +6.44 | +41.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 6 | −1.72 | −62.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.52 | +21.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −1.56 | −7.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.64 | −44.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.37 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.45 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 20 | +8.09 | +79.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −1.35 | −40.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Zwolle · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.65 |
| M2 | Feyenoord · Home20 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | +1.83 |
| M3 | Heerenveen · Away27 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.64 |
| M4 | Nijmegen · Home1 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +2.96 |
| M5 | AZ Alkmaar · Away17 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +2.32 |
| M6 | Vitesse · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +3.67 |
| M7 | Excelsior · Away1 Oct 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +2.11 |
| M8 | PSV Eindhoven · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.55 | +1.56 |
| M9 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away22 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | +1.47 |
| M10 | Waalwijk · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.60 |
| M11 | Almere City · Home5 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +0.69 |
| M12 | Volendam · Away12 Nov 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.14 |
| M13 | Utrecht · Home26 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +0.68 |
| M14 | Heracles · Away2 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.31 |
| M15 | Ajax · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | +1.74 |
| M16 | Twente · Home17 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +1.79 |
| M17 | Fortuna Sittard · Away13 Jan 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +3.58 |
| M18 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home21 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +2.11 |
| M19 | Waalwijk · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.89 |
| M20 | Zwolle · Home4 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.83 | +0.06 |
| M21 | Feyenoord · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −0.31 |
| M22 | Excelsior · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.26 | +0.94 |
| M23 | Nijmegen · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.10 |
| M24 | AZ Alkmaar · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.15 |
| M25 | Twente · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.72 |
| M26 | Ajax · Home17 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.87 |
| M27 | Fortuna Sittard · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.57 |
| M28 | Vitesse · Away2 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.09 |
| M29 | Heracles · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | +0.11 |
| M30 | Almere City · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.69 |
| M31 | Volendam · Home28 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +2.21 |
| M32 | PSV Eindhoven · Away5 May 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.25 | +1.96 |
| M33 | Utrecht · Away12 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +4.05 |
| M34 | Heerenveen · Home19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +5.13 |
| Total | 49 | +5.13 | |||