Points
78Points expected by the market
69.05Gap
+8.95Yield
+22.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 20 | 50 | +3.65 | +6.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.28 | −2.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.18 | −12.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.21 | +351.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 35 | +1.92 | +1.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.65 | +5.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.66 | +164.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 15 | +1.73 | +16.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +0.64 | −5.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.21 | +351.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Heerenveen · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +0.79 |
| M2 | NAC Breda · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.14 | −1.35 |
| M3 | Fortuna Sittard · Home18 Sep 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −0.71 |
| M4 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.85 | −1.56 |
| M5 | Waalwijk · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −0.78 |
| M6 | Groningen · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.59 | −0.19 |
| M7 | Heracles · Away20 Oct 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.73 | +0.54 |
| M8 | Willem II · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +1.28 |
| M9 | Feyenoord · Away30 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +3.23 |
| M10 | PSV Eindhoven · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.89 |
| M11 | Twente · Away10 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +4.43 |
| M12 | Zwolle · Home24 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +4.77 |
| M13 | Nijmegen · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +5.91 |
| M14 | Utrecht · Home4 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.26 | +4.65 |
| M15 | AZ Alkmaar · Away8 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +3.27 |
| M16 | Almere City · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +3.69 |
| M17 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away22 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.82 |
| M18 | Waalwijk · Home11 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.34 | +5.16 |
| M19 | Heerenveen · Away19 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +6.15 |
| M20 | Feyenoord · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.38 | +7.53 |
| M21 | Fortuna Sittard · Away9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +8.37 |
| M22 | Heracles · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +9.04 |
| M23 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +9.89 |
| M24 | Almere City · Away2 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +10.74 |
| M25 | Zwolle · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.93 | +11.68 |
| M26 | AZ Alkmaar · Home16 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +10.94 |
| M27 | PSV Eindhoven · Away30 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.26 | +13.21 |
| M28 | NAC Breda · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +13.79 |
| M29 | Willem II · Away13 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +14.45 |
| M30 | Utrecht · Away20 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.69 | +12.77 |
| M31 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.15 | +11.62 |
| M32 | Nijmegen · Home11 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.49 | +9.13 |
| M33 | Groningen · Away14 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.02 | +8.11 |
| M34 | Twente · Home18 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +8.95 |
| Total | 78 | +8.95 | |||