Points
57Points expected by the market
60.51Gap
−3.51Yield
−15.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 23 | +2.35 | +8.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 22 | −7.58 | −30.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.10 | +32.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.37 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 17 | +0.74 | −1.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 8 | −5.73 | −45.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.82 | −11.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.61 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −1.86 | −19.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.92 | +77.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.37 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Almere City · Away10 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.09 |
| M2 | Nijmegen · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +1.97 |
| M3 | Groningen · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.33 |
| M4 | Waalwijk · Away30 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +2.11 |
| M5 | Heerenveen · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 9-1 | 3 | +0.75 | +2.87 |
| M6 | Zwolle · Away20 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +3.69 |
| M7 | Utrecht · Home29 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.03 | +1.67 |
| M8 | Fortuna Sittard · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | −0.19 |
| M9 | PSV Eindhoven · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.29 |
| M10 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | −2.23 |
| M11 | Feyenoord · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.00 |
| M12 | Willem II · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.03 | −5.04 |
| M13 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away24 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −3.42 |
| M14 | Heracles · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.76 | −2.65 |
| M15 | Ajax · Home8 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.00 |
| M16 | NAC Breda · Away15 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.35 |
| M17 | Twente · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.70 |
| M18 | PSV Eindhoven · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.40 | +2.10 |
| M19 | Utrecht · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.73 |
| M20 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.10 | −0.36 |
| M21 | Willem II · Away2 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +0.65 |
| M22 | Zwolle · Home9 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +1.35 |
| M23 | Fortuna Sittard · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +1.95 |
| M24 | Heerenveen · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.63 | +0.32 |
| M25 | Ajax · Away16 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | +0.32 |
| M26 | Nijmegen · Away29 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.75 | −0.43 |
| M27 | Waalwijk · Home1 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.48 | −1.91 |
| M28 | Feyenoord · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −3.29 |
| M29 | Heracles · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −4.94 |
| M30 | NAC Breda · Home24 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −6.04 |
| M31 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away4 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.22 | −4.82 |
| M32 | Groningen · Home11 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −3.70 |
| M33 | Twente · Away14 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | −2.03 |
| M34 | Almere City · Home18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.48 | −3.51 |
| Total | 57 | −3.51 | |||