Points
68Points expected by the market
69.47Gap
−1.47Yield
−8.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 18 | 41 | −1.93 | −15.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.21 | −6.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +1.06 | +37.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.81 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 30 | −1.32 | −12.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.48 | +13.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 11 | −0.61 | −23.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | −0.27 | −14.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.26 | +82.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.81 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Willem II · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.66 | −1.66 |
| M2 | Zwolle · Away18 Aug 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.54 | −1.13 |
| M3 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away25 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.21 | −2.34 |
| M4 | Groningen · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | −3.26 |
| M5 | NAC Breda · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.34 | −2.93 |
| M6 | Nijmegen · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.02 | −3.95 |
| M7 | Twente · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −2.81 |
| M8 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −1.55 |
| M9 | Utrecht · Away27 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.32 |
| M10 | Ajax · Home30 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −2.00 |
| M11 | AZ Alkmaar · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.02 | −0.98 |
| M12 | Almere City · Away10 Nov 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.79 | −0.19 |
| M13 | Heerenveen · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +0.42 |
| M14 | Fortuna Sittard · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.45 | −1.03 |
| M15 | Waalwijk · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.51 | −0.52 |
| M16 | Heracles · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.39 | −0.13 |
| M17 | PSV Eindhoven · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −0.94 |
| M18 | Utrecht · Home12 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.26 | −3.20 |
| M19 | Willem II · Away18 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.23 | −4.43 |
| M20 | Ajax · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −5.54 |
| M21 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.83 | −4.71 |
| M22 | NAC Breda · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.03 | −5.75 |
| M23 | Almere City · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.52 | −5.23 |
| M24 | Nijmegen · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.16 | −6.38 |
| M25 | Twente · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.71 | −4.67 |
| M26 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home30 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.82 | −3.85 |
| M27 | Groningen · Home2 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.77 | −3.08 |
| M28 | AZ Alkmaar · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | −1.43 |
| M29 | Fortuna Sittard · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −0.55 |
| M30 | Zwolle · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.51 | −0.04 |
| M31 | Heracles · Away3 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.92 |
| M32 | PSV Eindhoven · Home11 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.27 |
| M33 | Waalwijk · Home14 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.43 | +0.16 |
| M34 | Heerenveen · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −1.47 |
| Total | 68 | −1.47 | |||