Points
41Points expected by the market
37.04Gap
+3.96Yield
−7.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 18 | +3.92 | +38.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.38 | −37.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 14 | +2.43 | −13.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 18 | +3.92 | +38.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.17 | −42.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.43 | −8.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.21 | −33.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +2.85 | −15.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away11 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.94 |
| M2 | Almere City · Home16 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +3.07 |
| M3 | Nijmegen · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.57 | +1.50 |
| M4 | NAC Breda · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +0.01 |
| M5 | Ajax · Away18 Sep 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.46 | −0.45 |
| M6 | PSV Eindhoven · Home22 Sep 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.33 | −0.79 |
| M7 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.56 |
| M8 | AZ Alkmaar · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.56 |
| M9 | Willem II · Away20 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +1.37 |
| M10 | Groningen · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.70 |
| M11 | Heerenveen · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +4.07 |
| M12 | Zwolle · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +2.78 |
| M13 | Twente · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.88 |
| M14 | Feyenoord · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.60 | +2.48 |
| M15 | Heracles · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | +2.36 |
| M16 | Waalwijk · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +3.41 |
| M17 | Utrecht · Away22 Dec 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +2.34 | +5.75 |
| M18 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home10 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +4.50 |
| M19 | Nijmegen · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.82 | +3.68 |
| M20 | Zwolle · Home26 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.60 | +2.08 |
| M21 | Heerenveen · Away1 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.12 | +2.20 |
| M22 | Ajax · Home9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +1.57 |
| M23 | AZ Alkmaar · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.43 | +1.14 |
| M24 | Waalwijk · Away28 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +3.01 |
| M25 | Heracles · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.50 |
| M26 | Groningen · Away16 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +3.54 |
| M27 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.25 | +2.29 |
| M28 | Twente · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | +2.74 |
| M29 | Feyenoord · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +2.06 |
| M30 | Willem II · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +3.14 |
| M31 | PSV Eindhoven · Away3 May 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.22 | +2.92 |
| M32 | NAC Breda · Home10 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +4.06 |
| M33 | Almere City · Away14 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | +4.13 |
| M34 | Utrecht · Home18 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +3.96 |
| Total | 41 | +3.96 | |||