Points
51Points expected by the market
46.59Gap
+4.41Yield
−2.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 20 | +3.22 | +15.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | −0.67 | −14.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | +0.15 | −11.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +3.81 | +29.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.67 | −21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.44 | +52.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.59 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.34 | −12.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 5 | −0.29 | −48.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortuna Sittard · Home11 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.67 |
| M2 | Willem II · Away18 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.02 |
| M3 | Waalwijk · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −1.95 |
| M4 | PSV Eindhoven · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.24 | −2.19 |
| M5 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | −0.25 |
| M6 | Ajax · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.16 |
| M7 | Groningen · Away29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.46 |
| M8 | Heracles · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.43 |
| M9 | Feyenoord · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.01 | +1.42 |
| M10 | AZ Alkmaar · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | +1.60 |
| M11 | Zwolle · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.08 | +0.51 |
| M12 | Heerenveen · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.82 |
| M13 | Almere City · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +0.05 |
| M14 | Twente · Away1 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −0.77 |
| M15 | Nijmegen · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +0.54 |
| M16 | Utrecht · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.47 |
| M17 | NAC Breda · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +1.39 |
| M18 | Fortuna Sittard · Away10 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.91 |
| M19 | Groningen · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | +3.83 |
| M20 | Twente · Home2 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +3.48 |
| M21 | Heracles · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.46 | +2.02 |
| M22 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.40 |
| M23 | Ajax · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | +2.75 |
| M24 | PSV Eindhoven · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.34 | +5.09 |
| M25 | Nijmegen · Away9 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.74 | +6.83 |
| M26 | Willem II · Home16 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +7.67 |
| M27 | Feyenoord · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.62 | +7.05 |
| M28 | Utrecht · Home6 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +6.52 |
| M29 | NAC Breda · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +5.93 |
| M30 | Almere City · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +5.54 |
| M31 | AZ Alkmaar · Home4 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +4.56 |
| M32 | Zwolle · Away11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +4.26 |
| M33 | Heerenveen · Home14 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.54 | +5.80 |
| M34 | Waalwijk · Away18 May 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.38 | +4.41 |
| Total | 51 | +4.41 | |||