Points
43Points expected by the market
42.17Gap
+0.83Yield
+14.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.51 | −20.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +4.21 | +42.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 7 | −2.86 | +11.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 16 | +1.12 | −10.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 13 | +6.24 | +107.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 7 | +3.67 | +262.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.63 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.03 | −3.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 0 | −6.53 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ajax · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.60 |
| M2 | Utrecht · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.84 |
| M3 | NAC Breda · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +0.22 |
| M4 | AZ Alkmaar · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-9 | 0 | −0.57 | −0.35 |
| M5 | Twente · Away17 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −0.83 |
| M6 | Groningen · Home22 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.67 |
| M7 | Heracles · Away27 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −0.80 |
| M8 | Zwolle · Home6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −1.60 |
| M9 | Nijmegen · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.63 |
| M10 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.13 |
| M11 | Fortuna Sittard · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.23 |
| M12 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.61 |
| M13 | Feyenoord · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −1.06 |
| M14 | Waalwijk · Home29 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −2.04 |
| M15 | Willem II · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.18 |
| M16 | PSV Eindhoven · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.60 | +2.42 |
| M17 | Almere City · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.97 |
| M18 | NAC Breda · Away12 Jan 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.87 | +2.84 |
| M19 | Ajax · Home19 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +2.08 |
| M20 | Groningen · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.93 |
| M21 | Fortuna Sittard · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +0.06 |
| M22 | Twente · Home9 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.01 |
| M23 | Zwolle · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.42 |
| M24 | AZ Alkmaar · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +1.50 |
| M25 | PSV Eindhoven · Away8 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.38 | +1.11 |
| M26 | Heracles · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.81 | +0.31 |
| M27 | Utrecht · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.66 |
| M28 | Willem II · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.23 |
| M29 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −0.73 |
| M30 | Almere City · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +0.46 |
| M31 | Nijmegen · Home27 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.88 |
| M32 | Waalwijk · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.63 | +0.25 |
| M33 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away14 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.04 |
| M34 | Feyenoord · Home18 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.83 |
| Total | 43 | +0.83 | |||