← Eredivisie 2024-25

NAC Breda

Season 2024-25 · 34 matches played

Last 5DLLLD

Points

33

Points expected by the market

34.95

Gap

−1.95

Yield

−15.7%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 8 9.30 −1.30 −34.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 10 11 12.30 −1.30 −38.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 19 14 13.35 +0.65 +1.4%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Groningen · Away9 Aug 2024 9 Aug 2024 L 1-4 5.18 0.79 0 −0.79 −0.79 −€1.00
M2 Ajax · Home18 Aug 2024 18 Aug 2024 W 2-1 5.96 0.67 3 +2.33 +1.54 +€4.96
M3 Utrecht · Home24 Aug 2024 24 Aug 2024 L 1-2 3.74 1.03 0 −1.03 +0.51 −€1.00
M4 Heerenveen · Away31 Aug 2024 31 Aug 2024 L 0-4 4.77 0.83 0 −0.83 −0.32 −€1.00
M5 Fortuna Sittard · Home14 Sep 2024 14 Sep 2024 W 1-0 2.98 1.23 3 +1.77 +1.44 +€1.98
M6 Feyenoord · Away22 Sep 2024 22 Sep 2024 L 0-2 19.79 0.24 0 −0.24 +1.20 −€1.00
M7 Twente · Away29 Sep 2024 29 Sep 2024 L 0-1 10.80 0.42 0 −0.42 +0.79 −€1.00
M8 Nijmegen · Home5 Oct 2024 5 Oct 2024 W 1-0 3.14 1.20 3 +1.80 +2.59 +€2.14
M9 Zwolle · Away20 Oct 2024 20 Oct 2024 W 2-1 3.96 0.99 3 +2.01 +4.60 +€2.96
M10 Waalwijk · Home26 Oct 2024 26 Oct 2024 W 4-1 1.66 1.95 3 +1.05 +5.65 +€0.66
M11 Heracles · Away2 Nov 2024 2 Nov 2024 L 0-2 3.29 1.15 0 −1.15 +4.50 −€1.00
M12 PSV Eindhoven · Home9 Nov 2024 9 Nov 2024 L 0-3 8.03 0.53 0 −0.53 +3.97 −€1.00
M13 Willem II · Away24 Nov 2024 24 Nov 2024 D 2-2 3.25 1.19 1 −0.19 +3.78 −€1.00
M14 Almere City · Home30 Nov 2024 30 Nov 2024 W 1-0 1.63 2.00 3 +1.00 +4.79 +€0.63
M15 Sparta Rotterdam · Away7 Dec 2024 7 Dec 2024 W 2-0 4.68 0.87 3 +2.13 +6.92 +€3.68
M16 AZ Alkmaar · Home15 Dec 2024 15 Dec 2024 L 1-2 3.54 1.08 0 −1.08 +5.84 −€1.00
M17 Go Ahead Eagles · Away21 Dec 2024 21 Dec 2024 L 1-2 5.89 0.70 0 −0.70 +5.14 −€1.00
M18 Heerenveen · Home12 Jan 2025 12 Jan 2025 L 2-4 2.20 1.58 0 −1.58 +3.56 −€1.00
M19 Twente · Home19 Jan 2025 19 Jan 2025 W 2-1 4.66 0.86 3 +2.14 +5.70 +€3.66
M20 PSV Eindhoven · Away25 Jan 2025 25 Jan 2025 L 2-3 17.53 0.26 0 −0.26 +5.44 −€1.00
M21 Heracles · Home31 Jan 2025 31 Jan 2025 D 1-1 1.78 1.86 1 −0.86 +4.58 −€1.00
M22 Waalwijk · Away9 Feb 2025 9 Feb 2025 L 0-5 2.98 1.22 0 −1.22 +3.36 −€1.00
M23 Feyenoord · Home15 Feb 2025 15 Feb 2025 D 0-0 5.37 0.75 1 +0.25 +3.61 −€1.00
M24 Utrecht · Away1 Mar 2025 1 Mar 2025 L 0-1 5.72 0.73 0 −0.73 +2.88 −€1.00
M25 Sparta Rotterdam · Home7 Mar 2025 7 Mar 2025 D 1-1 3.25 1.17 1 −0.17 +2.72 −€1.00
M26 Almere City · Away14 Mar 2025 14 Mar 2025 D 1-1 3.30 1.14 1 −0.14 +2.57 −€1.00
M27 Groningen · Home29 Mar 2025 29 Mar 2025 D 1-1 2.93 1.28 1 −0.28 +2.29 −€1.00
M28 Ajax · Away6 Apr 2025 6 Apr 2025 L 1-3 10.69 0.42 0 −0.42 +1.87 −€1.00
M29 Go Ahead Eagles · Home12 Apr 2025 12 Apr 2025 D 1-1 3.19 1.15 1 −0.15 +1.72 −€1.00
M30 AZ Alkmaar · Away24 Apr 2025 24 Apr 2025 D 1-1 5.93 0.69 1 +0.31 +2.03 −€1.00
M31 Zwolle · Home4 May 2025 4 May 2025 L 1-3 2.15 1.60 0 −1.60 +0.43 −€1.00
M32 Fortuna Sittard · Away10 May 2025 10 May 2025 L 0-1 4.60 0.88 0 −0.88 −0.45 −€1.00
M33 Nijmegen · Away14 May 2025 14 May 2025 L 0-3 7.01 0.61 0 −0.61 −1.06 −€1.00
M34 Willem II · Home18 May 2025 18 May 2025 D 1-1 1.73 1.90 1 −0.90 −1.95 −€1.00
Total 34.95 33 −1.95 −€5.33