Points
43Points expected by the market
44.68Gap
−1.68Yield
+11.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 21 | +0.83 | 0.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −4.54 | −14.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | +1.22 | +40.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.80 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +1.17 | +0.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −4.16 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.29 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.33 | −3.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.38 | +22.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | +1.51 | +111.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Twente · Home10 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.17 |
| M2 | AZ Alkmaar · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −1.84 |
| M3 | Zwolle · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −0.81 |
| M4 | Fortuna Sittard · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.04 |
| M5 | PSV Eindhoven · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.31 | +0.73 |
| M6 | Heracles · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.97 | −1.24 |
| M7 | Feyenoord · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −0.99 |
| M8 | NAC Breda · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.50 |
| M9 | Heerenveen · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −1.22 |
| M10 | Almere City · Away25 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −2.69 |
| M11 | Groningen · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.32 | −1.37 |
| M12 | Waalwijk · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.10 |
| M13 | Utrecht · Home24 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.63 |
| M14 | Ajax · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.53 |
| M15 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.05 | −3.58 |
| M16 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home15 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −4.18 |
| M17 | Willem II · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.60 | −5.78 |
| M18 | Zwolle · Away11 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −4.25 |
| M19 | Fortuna Sittard · Home19 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.06 | −3.19 |
| M20 | PSV Eindhoven · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.34 | −2.85 |
| M21 | Groningen · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −4.24 |
| M22 | Almere City · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.04 | −5.28 |
| M23 | Twente · Away23 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −5.98 |
| M24 | Feyenoord · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | −5.62 |
| M25 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −7.08 |
| M26 | Utrecht · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −4.95 |
| M27 | AZ Alkmaar · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.02 | −4.93 |
| M28 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away6 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.82 |
| M29 | Waalwijk · Home11 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | −4.68 |
| M30 | Heerenveen · Away27 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.84 |
| M31 | Willem II · Home3 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −6.89 |
| M32 | Ajax · Away11 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.63 | −4.27 |
| M33 | NAC Breda · Home14 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.80 | −3.46 |
| M34 | Heracles · Away18 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −1.68 |
| Total | 43 | −1.68 | |||