Points
79Points expected by the market
79.69Gap
−0.69Yield
−3.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 28 | 67 | −2.09 | −9.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +2.80 | +48.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.40 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 39 | +0.54 | −8.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.03 | −19.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 28 | −2.63 | −10.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.83 | +94.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.40 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Waalwijk · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.26 | +0.26 |
| M2 | Heracles · Away18 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.40 | +0.66 |
| M3 | Almere City · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 7-1 | 3 | +0.43 | +1.09 |
| M4 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +1.43 |
| M5 | Nijmegen · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.42 | +1.85 |
| M6 | Fortuna Sittard · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.46 | +2.31 |
| M7 | Willem II · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +2.95 |
| M8 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.47 | +3.42 |
| M9 | AZ Alkmaar · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +4.77 |
| M10 | Zwolle · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.35 | +5.13 |
| M11 | Ajax · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +3.73 |
| M12 | NAC Breda · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +4.44 |
| M13 | Groningen · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.39 | +4.83 |
| M14 | Utrecht · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.84 | +5.67 |
| M15 | Twente · Home6 Dec 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +6.35 |
| M16 | Heerenveen · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.45 | +3.90 |
| M17 | Feyenoord · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +4.92 |
| M18 | AZ Alkmaar · Home11 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.21 | +3.71 |
| M19 | Zwolle · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.46 | +1.25 |
| M20 | NAC Breda · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.36 | +1.60 |
| M21 | Nijmegen · Away1 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.13 | +0.47 |
| M22 | Willem II · Home8 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.61 | −1.15 |
| M23 | Utrecht · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.31 | −2.45 |
| M24 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.15 | −4.60 |
| M25 | Heerenveen · Home8 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.51 | −4.09 |
| M26 | Waalwijk · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | −3.44 |
| M27 | Ajax · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.06 | −5.50 |
| M28 | Groningen · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −4.68 |
| M29 | Almere City · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.33 | −4.36 |
| M30 | Twente · Away24 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | −3.32 |
| M31 | Fortuna Sittard · Home3 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.30 | −3.02 |
| M32 | Feyenoord · Away11 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | −1.58 |
| M33 | Heracles · Home14 May 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.27 | −1.31 |
| M34 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away18 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.63 | −0.69 |
| Total | 79 | −0.69 | |||