Points
39Points expected by the market
46.76Gap
−7.76Yield
−33.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 2 | −2.41 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 19 | −1.22 | −18.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −5.17 | −39.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | +1.04 | −29.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 2 | −2.41 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −1.86 | −21.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −4.13 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.64 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −1.04 | −19.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.99 | +6.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Heracles · Home11 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.24 | −1.24 |
| M2 | Twente · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −1.03 |
| M3 | Feyenoord · Home25 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.62 |
| M4 | Willem II · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.88 |
| M5 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home15 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −0.79 |
| M6 | Waalwijk · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +0.43 |
| M7 | Fortuna Sittard · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −0.55 |
| M8 | PSV Eindhoven · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | −0.90 |
| M9 | Almere City · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.93 | −1.82 |
| M10 | Heerenveen · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.06 |
| M11 | Utrecht · Home3 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.39 |
| M12 | Groningen · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.65 |
| M13 | AZ Alkmaar · Home24 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −6.99 |
| M14 | Zwolle · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.39 |
| M15 | NAC Breda · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −10.26 |
| M16 | Nijmegen · Away15 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −10.37 |
| M17 | Ajax · Home22 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −11.25 |
| M18 | Heracles · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −11.83 |
| M19 | Waalwijk · Home19 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.16 | −13.00 |
| M20 | AZ Alkmaar · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.33 | −10.67 |
| M21 | Groningen · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −9.54 |
| M22 | Feyenoord · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −10.16 |
| M23 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −11.28 |
| M24 | Willem II · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −10.24 |
| M25 | NAC Breda · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −10.79 |
| M26 | Zwolle · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −11.72 |
| M27 | Fortuna Sittard · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −10.17 |
| M28 | Nijmegen · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −9.04 |
| M29 | Heerenveen · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −7.82 |
| M30 | Ajax · Away27 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.35 | −7.47 |
| M31 | Twente · Home4 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −8.94 |
| M32 | Almere City · Away10 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −7.35 |
| M33 | Utrecht · Away14 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −7.28 |
| M34 | PSV Eindhoven · Home18 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −7.76 |
| Total | 39 | −7.76 | |||