Points
54Points expected by the market
59.71Gap
−5.71Yield
−29.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 24 | +0.41 | −9.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | −0.45 | −16.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.72 | −27.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −3.95 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 23 | +1.74 | +0.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.19 | +25.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.08 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.83 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.33 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.64 | −37.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.36 | +27.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −3.13 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nijmegen · Away10 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.44 |
| M2 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home17 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +0.45 |
| M3 | Utrecht · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.97 |
| M4 | Zwolle · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | −2.35 |
| M5 | Heerenveen · Home17 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | −1.70 |
| M6 | Almere City · Away22 Sep 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.89 | −0.80 |
| M7 | NAC Breda · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.57 | −0.24 |
| M8 | Feyenoord · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.13 |
| M9 | Waalwijk · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.33 | −2.46 |
| M10 | Heracles · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.53 | −1.93 |
| M11 | Willem II · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.05 | −0.88 |
| M12 | Ajax · Home10 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.15 |
| M13 | Fortuna Sittard · Away23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.01 |
| M14 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home1 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.07 |
| M15 | PSV Eindhoven · Away6 Dec 2024 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.51 | +0.56 |
| M16 | Groningen · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +1.24 |
| M17 | AZ Alkmaar · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.19 |
| M18 | Willem II · Home12 Jan 2025 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.65 | +0.84 |
| M19 | NAC Breda · Away19 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.88 | −1.05 |
| M20 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away2 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.44 |
| M21 | Heerenveen · Away9 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.67 | −2.11 |
| M22 | Waalwijk · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | −1.42 |
| M23 | Nijmegen · Home23 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.91 | −0.50 |
| M24 | Groningen · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | −1.22 |
| M25 | Almere City · Home9 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.59 | −0.63 |
| M26 | Feyenoord · Home16 Mar 2025 | L 2-6 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.06 |
| M27 | Heracles · Away30 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −3.84 |
| M28 | Fortuna Sittard · Home5 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.25 | −5.09 |
| M29 | Zwolle · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −5.78 |
| M30 | PSV Eindhoven · Home24 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −6.61 |
| M31 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away4 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −4.87 |
| M32 | Utrecht · Home11 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −3.67 |
| M33 | AZ Alkmaar · Home14 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.05 |
| M34 | Ajax · Away18 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −5.71 |
| Total | 54 | −5.71 | |||