Points
41Points expected by the market
35.69Gap
+5.31Yield
−1.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.81 | +34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +4.52 | +19.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 9 | −1.02 | −31.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.81 | +34.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.02 | −12.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.81 | +120.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +3.50 | +51.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 5 | −1.83 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Utrecht · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | −0.68 |
| M2 | Feyenoord · Home18 Aug 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.40 | −1.08 |
| M3 | Nijmegen · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.89 |
| M4 | Heracles · Home1 Sep 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −0.54 |
| M5 | Twente · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.54 | 0.00 |
| M6 | AZ Alkmaar · Home20 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −0.63 |
| M7 | Almere City · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.65 |
| M8 | Heerenveen · Away6 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.69 |
| M9 | NAC Breda · Home20 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.05 |
| M10 | PSV Eindhoven · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.26 | −1.31 |
| M11 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away3 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.30 | −1.00 |
| M12 | Fortuna Sittard · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.58 |
| M13 | Ajax · Away24 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.24 | +0.34 |
| M14 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home30 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.02 |
| M15 | Groningen · Away8 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | +1.99 |
| M16 | Willem II · Home13 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +0.23 |
| M17 | Waalwijk · Away20 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.18 |
| M18 | Nijmegen · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.43 |
| M19 | PSV Eindhoven · Home18 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.60 | +1.18 |
| M20 | Fortuna Sittard · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.87 | +3.05 |
| M21 | Utrecht · Home1 Feb 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.22 | +2.83 |
| M22 | AZ Alkmaar · Away9 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | +2.31 |
| M23 | Heerenveen · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.99 |
| M24 | Heracles · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.84 |
| M25 | Ajax · Home9 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | +0.14 |
| M26 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.32 |
| M27 | Waalwijk · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.64 |
| M28 | Almere City · Away5 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.41 |
| M29 | Twente · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +1.36 |
| M30 | Feyenoord · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.37 | +0.99 |
| M31 | NAC Breda · Away4 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.87 |
| M32 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home11 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.42 |
| M33 | Willem II · Away14 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.96 |
| M34 | Groningen · Home18 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +5.31 |
| Total | 41 | +5.31 | |||