Points
56Points expected by the market
60.73Gap
−4.73Yield
−28.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 19 | −0.12 | −5.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 26 | −3.03 | −31.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −1.77 | −33.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.20 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 18 | +1.23 | +7.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 9 | −4.00 | −48.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.04 | +6.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.97 | −18.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.74 | −53.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.20 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Telstar · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.48 | +0.48 |
| M2 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away17 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.29 |
| M3 | Heracles · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.50 | +0.21 |
| M4 | Volendam · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.35 | −1.14 |
| M5 | Zwolle · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.65 | −0.49 |
| M6 | PSV Eindhoven · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.20 | −0.29 |
| M7 | NAC Breda · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +0.33 |
| M8 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.89 | −0.56 |
| M9 | AZ Alkmaar · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −2.19 |
| M10 | Twente · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.46 |
| M11 | Heerenveen · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | −1.52 |
| M12 | Utrecht · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.96 |
| M13 | Excelsior · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.33 | −5.29 |
| M14 | Groningen · Home2 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −3.99 |
| M15 | Fortuna Sittard · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −2.67 |
| M16 | Feyenoord · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −0.81 |
| M17 | Nijmegen · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | −1.01 |
| M18 | Telstar · Away11 Jan 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.20 |
| M19 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home17 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.96 | −0.75 |
| M20 | Volendam · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.67 | −0.08 |
| M21 | Excelsior · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.80 | −0.88 |
| M22 | AZ Alkmaar · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.17 |
| M23 | Fortuna Sittard · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.64 | −0.54 |
| M24 | Nijmegen · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −1.33 |
| M25 | Zwolle · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −2.09 |
| M26 | Groningen · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.58 |
| M27 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −2.47 |
| M28 | Feyenoord · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −2.52 |
| M29 | Twente · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −4.00 |
| M30 | Heracles · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.95 | −3.05 |
| M31 | NAC Breda · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −1.71 |
| M32 | PSV Eindhoven · Home2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −2.13 |
| M33 | Utrecht · Home10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.96 | −4.09 |
| M34 | Heerenveen · Away17 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −4.73 |
| Total | 56 | −4.73 | |||