Points
52Points expected by the market
60.01Gap
−8.01Yield
−29.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 11 | 20 | −5.43 | −41.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 21 | +2.63 | +22.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −4.60 | −54.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.61 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 19 | −2.10 | −28.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.61 | +29.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.40 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.33 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.02 | +17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.20 | −31.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.61 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Groningen · Home10 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.67 | +0.67 |
| M2 | Volendam · Away17 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.21 | −0.55 |
| M3 | NAC Breda · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.55 |
| M4 | Heracles · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +1.53 |
| M5 | Feyenoord · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.42 | +1.12 |
| M6 | Zwolle · Home24 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.33 | −0.22 |
| M7 | Nijmegen · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.88 |
| M8 | Telstar · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.70 | −1.17 |
| M9 | Ajax · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +0.71 |
| M10 | Utrecht · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +1.64 |
| M11 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away2 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.76 |
| M12 | PSV Eindhoven · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.70 |
| M13 | Heerenveen · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | +0.29 |
| M14 | Twente · Away30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.89 |
| M15 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home7 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.31 | −2.20 |
| M16 | Fortuna Sittard · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.93 | −4.14 |
| M17 | Volendam · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.45 | −3.69 |
| M18 | Zwolle · Away17 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.11 | −5.80 |
| M19 | Excelsior · Home21 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.31 | −7.11 |
| M20 | Telstar · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −5.70 |
| M21 | Nijmegen · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.75 | −7.45 |
| M22 | Ajax · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −7.90 |
| M23 | Excelsior · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | −6.42 |
| M24 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −5.10 |
| M25 | Utrecht · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −6.29 |
| M26 | PSV Eindhoven · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.61 | −6.90 |
| M27 | Heracles · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.73 | −6.17 |
| M28 | Groningen · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.52 | −7.68 |
| M29 | Fortuna Sittard · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | −7.04 |
| M30 | Heerenveen · Home12 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −5.94 |
| M31 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away23 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −6.14 |
| M32 | Twente · Home3 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −6.62 |
| M33 | Feyenoord · Away10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −6.68 |
| M34 | NAC Breda · Home17 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.33 | −8.01 |
| Total | 52 | −8.01 | |||