Points
38Points expected by the market
36.35Gap
+1.65Yield
+6.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.10 | +3.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 16 | −1.74 | −16.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 15 | +3.29 | +27.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.10 | +3.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.43 | −20.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.29 | −37.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | +0.69 | −11.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 11 | +4.58 | +67.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Nijmegen · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.84 |
| M2 | Feyenoord · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −1.50 |
| M3 | Utrecht · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −2.12 |
| M4 | Twente · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.00 | −0.13 |
| M5 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.53 |
| M6 | Volendam · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +0.26 |
| M7 | PSV Eindhoven · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −0.33 |
| M8 | Heerenveen · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.17 |
| M9 | Fortuna Sittard · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.20 |
| M10 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.93 |
| M11 | Telstar · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −1.06 |
| M12 | Heracles · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | −2.82 |
| M13 | Ajax · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.49 | −0.33 |
| M14 | NAC Breda · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.24 |
| M15 | Groningen · Home5 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +0.18 |
| M16 | Zwolle · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +1.57 |
| M17 | PSV Eindhoven · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.32 | +1.24 |
| M18 | Telstar · Home17 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.71 |
| M19 | AZ Alkmaar · Away21 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.48 | +1.19 |
| M20 | Twente · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.56 | +1.75 |
| M21 | Ajax · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.05 | +1.80 |
| M22 | NAC Breda · Away6 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +3.86 |
| M23 | AZ Alkmaar · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | +2.65 |
| M24 | Fortuna Sittard · Away20 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +1.47 |
| M25 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home1 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +0.01 |
| M26 | Heerenveen · Home7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −1.24 |
| M27 | Feyenoord · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −1.75 |
| M28 | Heracles · Away20 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −2.12 |
| M29 | Nijmegen · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.13 |
| M30 | Zwolle · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −3.33 |
| M31 | Utrecht · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −1.48 |
| M32 | Groningen · Away2 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.13 | +0.66 |
| M33 | Volendam · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −0.25 |
| M34 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away17 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.65 |
| Total | 38 | +1.65 | |||