Points
65Points expected by the market
65.87Gap
−0.87Yield
−18.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 40 | +1.02 | −0.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.46 | −3.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.51 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 30 | +1.80 | +5.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −1.03 | −58.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.46 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −0.79 | −14.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.49 | +28.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.05 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | NAC Breda · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +0.70 |
| M2 | Excelsior · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +1.57 |
| M3 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.83 |
| M4 | Heerenveen · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +3.52 |
| M5 | Fortuna Sittard · Home17 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.60 | +4.12 |
| M6 | AZ Alkmaar · Away21 Sep 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.33 | +3.79 |
| M7 | Groningen · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +5.04 |
| M8 | Utrecht · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.84 | +5.88 |
| M9 | Heracles · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 7-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +6.61 |
| M10 | PSV Eindhoven · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.46 | +5.15 |
| M11 | Volendam · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.36 | +5.50 |
| M12 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.17 | +3.33 |
| M13 | Nijmegen · Home23 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −2.17 | +1.16 |
| M14 | Telstar · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +2.14 |
| M15 | Zwolle · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.42 | +2.57 |
| M16 | Ajax · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +0.95 |
| M17 | Twente · Home21 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +0.24 |
| M18 | Heerenveen · Away11 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.24 |
| M19 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −2.13 | −2.37 |
| M20 | Heracles · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.53 | −1.84 |
| M21 | PSV Eindhoven · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −2.68 |
| M22 | Utrecht · Away8 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −1.31 |
| M23 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −0.54 |
| M24 | Telstar · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.52 | −0.03 |
| M25 | Twente · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −1.16 |
| M26 | NAC Breda · Away8 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.77 | −1.93 |
| M27 | Excelsior · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | −1.25 |
| M28 | Ajax · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | −1.97 |
| M29 | Volendam · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.13 | −3.09 |
| M30 | Nijmegen · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.21 |
| M31 | Groningen · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −2.12 |
| M32 | Fortuna Sittard · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −1.10 |
| M33 | AZ Alkmaar · Home10 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −1.79 |
| M34 | Zwolle · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −0.87 |
| Total | 65 | −0.87 | |||