Points
39Points expected by the market
34.99Gap
+4.01Yield
+14.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.94 | +31.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 21 | +2.12 | +16.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 11 | −0.05 | +10.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.94 | +31.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.32 | +26.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.12 | −6.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.20 | +1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | +1.08 | +18.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home8 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −0.30 |
| M2 | NAC Breda · Away17 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −1.51 |
| M3 | Nijmegen · Home31 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.79 | +0.28 |
| M4 | Telstar · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +2.17 |
| M5 | Feyenoord · Away17 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.44 | +1.73 |
| M6 | Utrecht · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +3.58 |
| M7 | Twente · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.60 | +2.99 |
| M8 | Volendam · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.17 |
| M9 | Excelsior · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | +3.07 |
| M10 | Groningen · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +1.82 |
| M11 | PSV Eindhoven · Away31 Oct 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.29 | +1.53 |
| M12 | Heerenveen · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +3.31 |
| M13 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +3.34 |
| M14 | Heracles · Home29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +2.64 |
| M15 | Ajax · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.59 |
| M16 | Zwolle · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.26 |
| M17 | AZ Alkmaar · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.17 | +2.42 |
| M18 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away11 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | +2.43 |
| M19 | PSV Eindhoven · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +1.69 |
| M20 | Groningen · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.34 | +4.03 |
| M21 | Heracles · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | +2.86 |
| M22 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | +2.63 |
| M23 | Ajax · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.47 | +2.16 |
| M24 | Excelsior · Home20 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.61 |
| M25 | Nijmegen · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.39 | +5.99 |
| M26 | Telstar · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.49 | +4.51 |
| M27 | Volendam · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +6.23 |
| M28 | Twente · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | +5.53 |
| M29 | AZ Alkmaar · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.48 | +5.05 |
| M30 | NAC Breda · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +4.76 |
| M31 | Heerenveen · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.67 | +4.09 |
| M32 | Feyenoord · Home3 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.29 |
| M33 | Zwolle · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.74 |
| M34 | Utrecht · Away17 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | +4.01 |
| Total | 39 | +4.01 | |||