Points
38Points expected by the market
41.40Gap
−3.40Yield
−37.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +1.76 | −6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 12 | −4.49 | −57.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −0.67 | −43.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 18 | +2.42 | +4.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 3 | −3.17 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.51 | +109.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.66 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.32 | −31.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −2.18 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fortuna Sittard · Away8 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −0.43 |
| M2 | Ajax · Home17 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | −0.42 |
| M3 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.69 | −2.11 |
| M4 | Heerenveen · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −2.25 |
| M5 | Volendam · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.92 | −1.33 |
| M6 | Zwolle · Away21 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.33 |
| M7 | Telstar · Away28 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.16 |
| M8 | Nijmegen · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −1.53 |
| M9 | PSV Eindhoven · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −1.96 |
| M10 | Excelsior · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.58 |
| M11 | NAC Breda · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.77 |
| M12 | Feyenoord · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.36 | +0.59 |
| M13 | Heracles · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.76 |
| M14 | Utrecht · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.99 |
| M15 | AZ Alkmaar · Away7 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.51 |
| M16 | Twente · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −1.10 |
| M17 | Groningen · Home21 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −1.21 |
| M18 | Fortuna Sittard · Home11 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | −1.96 |
| M19 | Ajax · Away17 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.18 | −1.78 |
| M20 | Volendam · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | −2.43 |
| M21 | Telstar · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −3.22 |
| M22 | Heerenveen · Home11 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −4.57 |
| M23 | Feyenoord · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.58 | −5.15 |
| M24 | Heracles · Home22 Feb 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −3.88 |
| M25 | Excelsior · Away1 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −2.14 |
| M26 | Twente · Home8 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.00 |
| M27 | NAC Breda · Home15 Mar 2026 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.59 |
| M28 | Utrecht · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −2.39 |
| M29 | Zwolle · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −1.18 |
| M30 | Groningen · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.09 | −1.09 |
| M31 | AZ Alkmaar · Home23 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −1.64 |
| M32 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away3 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.13 | −1.77 |
| M33 | PSV Eindhoven · Home10 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.87 |
| M34 | Nijmegen · Away17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −3.40 |
| Total | 38 | −3.40 | |||