Points
48Points expected by the market
48.55Gap
−0.55Yield
+2.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.51 | −54.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 18 | −3.93 | −25.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +7.00 | +58.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −1.11 | −4.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.51 | −54.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −3.94 | −33.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +4.99 | +108.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.01 | −10.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.02 | +24.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | +0.70 | +22.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | AZ Alkmaar · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.49 | −0.49 |
| M2 | Heerenveen · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +0.93 |
| M3 | PSV Eindhoven · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.35 | +0.58 |
| M4 | Heracles · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +1.59 |
| M5 | Utrecht · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +3.75 |
| M6 | Telstar · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +4.69 |
| M7 | Feyenoord · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | +3.71 |
| M8 | NAC Breda · Away3 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +5.36 |
| M9 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.86 | +3.50 |
| M10 | Fortuna Sittard · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +5.04 |
| M11 | Twente · Home2 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +4.81 |
| M12 | Nijmegen · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +3.74 |
| M13 | Zwolle · Home23 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.15 | +2.59 |
| M14 | Ajax · Away2 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +1.55 |
| M15 | Excelsior · Away5 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +2.89 |
| M16 | Volendam · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.75 | +3.64 |
| M17 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away21 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | +3.02 |
| M18 | NAC Breda · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.94 | +2.08 |
| M19 | Heerenveen · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +4.06 |
| M20 | Fortuna Sittard · Home25 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.11 | +1.95 |
| M21 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.66 |
| M22 | PSV Eindhoven · Home8 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.19 |
| M23 | Utrecht · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.94 |
| M24 | Twente · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.63 |
| M25 | Volendam · Away1 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.71 | −4.34 |
| M26 | Ajax · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −2.59 |
| M27 | Zwolle · Away13 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −3.01 |
| M28 | AZ Alkmaar · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.24 |
| M29 | Telstar · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.35 |
| M30 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | −0.51 |
| M31 | Feyenoord · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.37 |
| M32 | Excelsior · Home2 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.90 | −3.27 |
| M33 | Nijmegen · Home10 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −1.56 |
| M34 | Heracles · Away17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −0.55 |
| Total | 48 | −0.55 | |||