Points
51Points expected by the market
48.58Gap
+2.42Yield
−17.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 22 | +0.29 | −8.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +3.56 | +18.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −3.16 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.68 | −23.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.48 | −0.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +0.97 | +35.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.08 | +32.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −2.14 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Volendam · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | −1.00 |
| M2 | Groningen · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.14 |
| M3 | Twente · Home24 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.48 |
| M4 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | −4.10 |
| M5 | Feyenoord · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | −4.62 |
| M6 | Nijmegen · Home21 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | −3.05 |
| M7 | Utrecht · Away28 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | −2.97 |
| M8 | Excelsior · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | −1.90 |
| M9 | Telstar · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.47 | −0.43 |
| M10 | NAC Breda · Home24 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.03 | −1.46 |
| M11 | Ajax · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −1.20 |
| M12 | Fortuna Sittard · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.72 |
| M13 | AZ Alkmaar · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.06 |
| M14 | Zwolle · Away28 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −2.83 |
| M15 | PSV Eindhoven · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.85 |
| M16 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away14 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −2.35 |
| M17 | Heracles · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.02 |
| M18 | Feyenoord · Home11 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.29 |
| M19 | Groningen · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.99 |
| M20 | Utrecht · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −3.85 |
| M21 | Twente · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.77 | −4.61 |
| M22 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away11 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −2.99 |
| M23 | Zwolle · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.07 | −1.92 |
| M24 | PSV Eindhoven · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.47 | −2.39 |
| M25 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −1.06 |
| M26 | Excelsior · Away7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +0.44 |
| M27 | Telstar · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +1.51 |
| M28 | Nijmegen · Away22 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.66 |
| M29 | Heracles · Home5 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +2.51 |
| M30 | AZ Alkmaar · Away12 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +1.63 |
| M31 | Fortuna Sittard · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | +2.50 |
| M32 | Volendam · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +3.91 |
| M33 | NAC Breda · Away10 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +2.55 |
| M34 | Ajax · Home17 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | +2.42 |
| Total | 51 | +2.42 | |||