Points
19Points expected by the market
31.11Gap
−12.11Yield
−60.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +0.56 | −11.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 4 | −11.11 | −83.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +1.66 | −3.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 0 | −4.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 4 | −7.10 | −76.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Utrecht · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.71 |
| M2 | Nijmegen · Home16 Aug 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.96 |
| M3 | Ajax · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.36 | −2.33 |
| M4 | Groningen · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.10 |
| M5 | AZ Alkmaar · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −3.87 |
| M6 | NAC Breda · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.84 |
| M7 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −3.26 |
| M8 | Twente · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −3.73 |
| M9 | Feyenoord · Home19 Oct 2025 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.55 | −4.28 |
| M10 | Volendam · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −5.38 |
| M11 | Zwolle · Home2 Nov 2025 | W 8-2 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.76 |
| M12 | Excelsior · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | −1.76 |
| M13 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.15 |
| M14 | Fortuna Sittard · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.20 |
| M15 | Telstar · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.68 |
| M16 | PSV Eindhoven · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.26 | −0.94 |
| M17 | Heerenveen · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −2.01 |
| M18 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away11 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.95 |
| M19 | Twente · Home18 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −3.62 |
| M20 | Feyenoord · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.39 | −4.01 |
| M21 | Fortuna Sittard · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −2.56 |
| M22 | Nijmegen · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.59 | −3.15 |
| M23 | NAC Breda · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −4.44 |
| M24 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −5.45 |
| M25 | PSV Eindhoven · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −5.94 |
| M26 | Utrecht · Home6 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −6.09 |
| M27 | AZ Alkmaar · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.55 | −6.64 |
| M28 | Excelsior · Home20 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −7.00 |
| M29 | Heerenveen · Away5 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.66 | −7.66 |
| M30 | Ajax · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −8.40 |
| M31 | Volendam · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −9.97 |
| M32 | Zwolle · Away3 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −10.68 |
| M33 | Telstar · Away10 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −11.32 |
| M34 | Groningen · Home17 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −12.11 |
| Total | 19 | −12.11 | |||