Points
29Points expected by the market
40.38Gap
−11.38Yield
−62.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.32 | −19.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 12 | −7.78 | −51.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 6 | −2.28 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.32 | −19.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.22 | −31.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.32 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 4 | −6.55 | −69.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −0.95 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Feyenoord · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −0.53 |
| M2 | Fortuna Sittard · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.96 |
| M3 | Nijmegen · Away24 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.78 | +0.18 |
| M4 | AZ Alkmaar · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −0.68 |
| M5 | Twente · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.36 |
| M6 | Heracles · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.88 |
| M7 | Ajax · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.46 | +0.41 |
| M8 | Groningen · Home3 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −0.95 |
| M9 | Zwolle · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.86 | −1.81 |
| M10 | Heerenveen · Away24 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.26 | −1.56 |
| M11 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.10 |
| M12 | Volendam · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.54 |
| M13 | PSV Eindhoven · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.03 |
| M14 | Excelsior · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.33 |
| M15 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away7 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −4.58 |
| M16 | Utrecht · Home14 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −4.94 |
| M17 | Telstar · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | −6.77 |
| M18 | Groningen · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −6.57 |
| M19 | Nijmegen · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −7.97 |
| M20 | PSV Eindhoven · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.42 | −7.55 |
| M21 | Twente · Home30 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | −7.67 |
| M22 | Excelsior · Home6 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.79 | −9.45 |
| M23 | Heracles · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −7.88 |
| M24 | Volendam · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −6.87 |
| M25 | Telstar · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −8.23 |
| M26 | Feyenoord · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.02 | −8.21 |
| M27 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away15 Mar 2026 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.14 | −9.35 |
| M28 | Zwolle · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −10.55 |
| M29 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.55 | −11.11 |
| M30 | Fortuna Sittard · Away12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −11.54 |
| M31 | Ajax · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −12.62 |
| M32 | Utrecht · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −13.49 |
| M33 | Heerenveen · Home10 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −11.88 |
| M34 | AZ Alkmaar · Away17 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.50 | −11.38 |
| Total | 29 | −11.38 | |||