Points
59Points expected by the market
53.37Gap
+5.63Yield
+14.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 12 | +0.78 | +8.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 24 | +0.31 | −20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.45 | −17.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 11 | +6.00 | +151.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 12 | +0.78 | +8.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.67 | −24.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.52 | +61.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.98 | −12.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.97 | −37.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 11 | +6.82 | +202.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Excelsior · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +1.06 |
| M2 | Heracles · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.59 |
| M3 | NAC Breda · Home24 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +3.59 |
| M4 | Fortuna Sittard · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | +2.05 |
| M5 | PSV Eindhoven · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.82 | +1.24 |
| M6 | Heerenveen · Away21 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.08 |
| M7 | AZ Alkmaar · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.82 |
| M8 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | +1.43 |
| M9 | Twente · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.06 |
| M10 | Zwolle · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | +0.29 |
| M11 | Utrecht · Away2 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −0.89 |
| M12 | Groningen · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +0.43 |
| M13 | Feyenoord · Away23 Nov 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.36 | +2.79 |
| M14 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +3.83 |
| M15 | Volendam · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.08 | +4.90 |
| M16 | Telstar · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | +4.31 |
| M17 | Ajax · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | +3.76 |
| M18 | NAC Breda · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.42 |
| M19 | Zwolle · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +6.29 |
| M20 | AZ Alkmaar · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +8.28 |
| M21 | Heracles · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +9.06 |
| M22 | Utrecht · Home11 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.91 | +7.15 |
| M23 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away17 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +6.86 |
| M24 | Ajax · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +6.89 |
| M25 | Fortuna Sittard · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.20 | +4.69 |
| M26 | Volendam · Home8 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.64 | +5.33 |
| M27 | PSV Eindhoven · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.26 | +7.59 |
| M28 | Heerenveen · Home22 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | +6.65 |
| M29 | Excelsior · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +7.91 |
| M30 | Feyenoord · Home12 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +7.28 |
| M31 | Twente · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | +7.44 |
| M32 | Telstar · Home2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | +6.40 |
| M33 | Groningen · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +4.95 |
| M34 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home17 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +5.63 |
| Total | 59 | +5.63 | |||