Points
84Points expected by the market
72.40Gap
+11.60Yield
+20.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 20 | 46 | −1.65 | −6.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 34 | +11.90 | +61.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.36 | +34.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 34 | −0.03 | −4.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +1.54 | +25.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 12 | −1.62 | −11.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 27 | +10.36 | +73.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.36 | +34.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sparta Rotterdam · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +0.49 |
| M2 | Twente · Away17 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +1.48 |
| M3 | Groningen · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.47 | +1.95 |
| M4 | Telstar · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.68 | −0.73 |
| M5 | Nijmegen · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.30 |
| M6 | Ajax · Home21 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.99 | −0.69 |
| M7 | Excelsior · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.77 | +0.08 |
| M8 | Zwolle · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +0.90 |
| M9 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.56 | +1.47 |
| M10 | Feyenoord · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.17 |
| M11 | Fortuna Sittard · Home31 Oct 2025 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.40 | +3.57 |
| M12 | AZ Alkmaar · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.86 |
| M13 | NAC Breda · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +5.50 |
| M14 | Volendam · Home30 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +5.85 |
| M15 | Heerenveen · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +7.09 |
| M16 | Heracles · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.35 | +7.44 |
| M17 | Utrecht · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +8.63 |
| M18 | Excelsior · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.44 | +9.07 |
| M19 | Fortuna Sittard · Away17 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.95 | +10.02 |
| M20 | NAC Breda · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.24 | +8.79 |
| M21 | Feyenoord · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.06 | +9.84 |
| M22 | Groningen · Away8 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +10.91 |
| M23 | Volendam · Away13 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.40 | +8.51 |
| M24 | Heerenveen · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.62 | +9.13 |
| M25 | Heracles · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +9.77 |
| M26 | AZ Alkmaar · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +10.56 |
| M27 | Nijmegen · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.07 | +8.49 |
| M28 | Telstar · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.10 | +6.39 |
| M29 | Utrecht · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.86 | +7.24 |
| M30 | Sparta Rotterdam · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +8.53 |
| M31 | Zwolle · Home23 Apr 2026 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +9.16 |
| M32 | Ajax · Away2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +8.81 |
| M33 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away10 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +10.13 |
| M34 | Twente · Home17 May 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +11.60 |
| Total | 84 | +11.60 | |||