Points
43Points expected by the market
42.62Gap
+0.38Yield
+2.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.52 | −40.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 21 | −0.93 | −8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 10 | +2.00 | +41.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.83 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.52 | −40.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.65 | +3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −1.58 | −16.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +3.78 | +102.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | PSV Eindhoven · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.36 | −0.36 |
| M2 | Utrecht · Home17 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.23 |
| M3 | Go Ahead Eagles · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.17 |
| M4 | Feyenoord · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.01 | +2.15 |
| M5 | Excelsior · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.81 |
| M6 | Twente · Home19 Sep 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.28 | +2.53 |
| M7 | Heracles · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | +1.21 |
| M8 | Ajax · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.12 | +1.33 |
| M9 | Groningen · Away19 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +3.44 |
| M10 | Telstar · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +4.61 |
| M11 | AZ Alkmaar · Home2 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +3.72 |
| M12 | Zwolle · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +2.32 |
| M13 | Fortuna Sittard · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +1.56 |
| M14 | Nijmegen · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | +0.75 |
| M15 | NAC Breda · Home7 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.26 |
| M16 | Heerenveen · Home14 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.02 |
| M17 | Volendam · Away21 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.53 |
| M18 | Heracles · Home11 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +3.71 |
| M19 | Feyenoord · Away18 Jan 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +2.34 | +6.05 |
| M20 | Utrecht · Away25 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +8.01 |
| M21 | Groningen · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +9.57 |
| M22 | Fortuna Sittard · Away7 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +9.07 |
| M23 | Nijmegen · Home17 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +8.63 |
| M24 | AZ Alkmaar · Away22 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +7.56 |
| M25 | Heerenveen · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +6.48 |
| M26 | Zwolle · Home8 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +5.64 |
| M27 | Ajax · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.88 | +4.76 |
| M28 | Volendam · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +5.60 |
| M29 | NAC Breda · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | +5.42 |
| M30 | PSV Eindhoven · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +4.36 |
| M31 | Telstar · Away22 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.13 | +3.23 |
| M32 | Go Ahead Eagles · Home3 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.60 |
| M33 | Twente · Away10 May 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.57 | +2.03 |
| M34 | Excelsior · Home17 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +0.38 |
| Total | 43 | +0.38 | |||